“Also Nate has Trump at 695 delegate
RCP has him at 739 and I have seen others a little more/less”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
In fairness on this point, Silver’s analysis was before the 3/22 primaries, and the 58 AZ delegates are in his projected subtotal in the analysis.
I still don’t understand how Silver handles the 54 PA delegates who are somehow uncommitted. He has none of these going to Trump, and that is not realistic, IMHO.
It’s really hard to predict the 54 PA delegates. PA seems like it logically would be prime Trump territory, but the state GOP is pretty bad news overall.