Trump is just as far ahead in South Carolina as he is in New Hampshire.
South Carolina
Trump 36
Cruz 20
Rubio 14
Nothing that happens in NH is going to change the fact that Trump is going to win South Carolina.
Florida is Rubio’s home state though... and if he comes in 2nd in NH and gets a boost and pulls ahead of Cruz in South Carolina... he could surge big in his home state of Florida... and if Rubio wins the winner take all state of Florida... all bets are off.
Florida is not until after the SEC primaries. A big showing in SC will give Rubio momentum going it those important primaries. The other thing about Florida is that we know Rubio here. We know his history unlike the late Iowa deciders who could project whatever they wanted onto the magic Cuban.
TexasFreeper2009 wrote: “Florida is Rubio’s home state though... and if he comes in 2nd in NH and gets a boost and pulls ahead of Cruz in South Carolina... he could surge big in his home state of Florida... and if Rubio wins the winner take all state of Florida... all bets are off.”
It would give Rubio cards to play for sure. I wouldn’t be surprised to start hearing bottom of the ticket contemplations based on how well he has held his own in the debates and process thus far.
I haven’t given Rubio a fair shake in my mind to this point. How many others like me have just looked the other way because of warnings to do so? It isn’t like he has a storied career that is going to work against him. He is, after all, just a freshman Senator like Cruz. So it it more about what Rubio will become than what Rubio is. That contemplation is what hinders Cruz a bit in my opinion.