Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: Gaffer
Hugh Hewitt made an interesting point on polling last night on CNN. They are not nearly as reliable as they once were. Many fewer people now have land lines, and those that do won't answer the phone now that everyone has caller ID.

Now, they're looking at other ways to measure public opinion, gage voter turnout, etc. And they haven't gotten that nailed down. Not by a long shot.

He cited recent KY governor's race, Israeli election, Brit election... several others where polling is off from results sometimes by 10 percent or more.

Essentially, the margins of error are far larger than what is published.

11 posted on 02/03/2016 4:37:26 AM PST by TontoKowalski (Satisfied Customer #291)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies ]


To: TontoKowalski

Essentially, the margins of error are far larger than what is published.
**************************
Agree. Many of polls only have from 400-1000 responders. If the poll is random, there may be only a handful of people from each of various States scattered across the country.

The pollsters then try to extrapolate that and claim the results to be representative of “all” Americans on any given subject. BS!


64 posted on 02/03/2016 8:34:29 AM PST by octex
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson