Posted on 10/07/2015 3:56:44 PM PDT by conservativejoy
Hell yes, says Will Rahn, although he surely knows deep down that Jebs not going anywhere soon. Which raises the question: What would have to happen in the race to get Bush to pull the plug before Iowa or New Hampshire? How bad do things need to get before a guy who raised $100 million decides, You know what, its just not worth it?
But your brother was an able campaigner, and you are not. The polls showed he had a particularly good chance of winning back the White House; the same cant really be said of you. And again, he was a disaster as president. You were doing a decent job of shedding all that baggage, but now thats hes joining you on the campaign trail, youre going to be shouldering all of it
Lets also look at the effect you dropping out would have on the frontrunner, Donald Trump. If you leave the race, it would allow the anti-Trump wing of the party to rally around someone else while also depriving Trump of his most reliable punch line, which is of course your candidacy. Given that Trump winning the nomination could foreseeably lead to the dissolution of the Republican Party, it would be a great act of loyalty if you were to cut him down by ending your campaign.
And thats the story you can tell if you get out soon, Jeb. Your exit could be portrayed as a strategic retreat in a larger war for the GOP. You were the adult, you put ambition aside and saved your country and your party from Donald Trump. For the rest of your life, people will come up to you and tell you that you were the best president this country never had. Youll be the premier elder statesman of the GOP, the man who retired gracefully instead of going through the expense of losing ugly.
If Jeb quits now, Rahn argues, hell be doing a great service to the rest of the field by sparing them from the coming attack-ad bombardment thatll otherwise be paid for by his war chest.
Heres the only problem: What evidence is there that Bush cant come back and win? The working theory behind Trumps (slight) downturn in the polls since the last debate is that voters are only now starting to get serious about the race. If thats true, then the Bush boomlet might still be coming. If you believe the last NBC/WSJ poll taken in New Hampshire, Bush is still in third place there with 11 percent, just 10 points behind a weakening Trump and five points behind Fiorina, whom few believe will win the nomination. With a ton of money in the bank and continued viability in his must-win state, theres no reason for him to get out soon.
Purely as an ego matter, why would he want to bow to his protege Rubio by throwing in the towel when he and Rubio are separated in most polls by just a handful of points? And whatever you think of Rahns assessment of Dubya as a disastrous president, the fact is that Republican voters dont agree. Go look again at Bush 43s favorable rating among GOP voters. Its entirely possible that having George on the trail for Jeb will lend him the bit of stature he needs for undecided center-right voters to take a closer look at him.
The only scenario where it would make sense for Bush to quit in early October, I think, is if Trump and some other credible center-right challenger like Rubio or Kasich had already bounced out to big leads and made it a two-man race. In that case, Jeb might tell himself that its unrealistic to think hell be able to catch the center-righty, even with tons of money in the bank and Dubyas help on the trail, and also that Trump is so serious a threat to win the nomination that the responsible thing to do, a la Scott Walker, is unite behind the leading electable alternative. Neither of those conditions obtain right now, though Trumps lead is shrinking, not expanding, and second place is up for grabs among Rubio, Carson, and Fiorina.
Itll be interesting to see what happens in the next six weeks or so, though, if Rubio continues to inch up and Trump continues to inch down. In that case, Jeb may decide that the scariest prospect of the campaign Trump as nominee has become sufficiently unlikely that he can just continue to run his race for another two months and see if he can catch Marco in New Hampshire. If not, fine. Maybe hell drop out then and spare Rubio a death match in Florida. If so, great. Then hes back on track for the nomination.
Until it becomes a two-man race, though, this probably isnt even worth thinking about unless it turns out that Jeb hates campaigning so much that hes actually eager to find excuses to quietly retire.
Exit question: What if we end up with a two-man race between Rubio and Ted Cruz, with Jeb Bush more than 10 points behind both men? Would he quit and endorse Rubio then?
The only Bush I’m voting for is either the baked beans, the crap light beer, Reggie Bush, or the 90s rock band.
Yes.
Next question.
A Trump in hand is worth 2 of the Buuuuuush.
Drop Out? Are they Crazy? He’s getting ready to team up with Hillary and be her running mate! That is the ONLY viable way to beat Trump,Cruz,Carson.
Yes
Past time ! GET ER DONE !
Yes
Oh, sorry: Si, Jebito!
Look at cankles .... still showing up for interviews
How schizoid can a human (?) be ?
I would like to see him drop out and endorse Ted Cruz. But, I know that’s not very likely to happen soon.
Is he still running? Heck, thought he was running for El Presidente of North Mexico!!!!!
He never should’ve entered.
Drop out or drop dead? Either would suit me.
“He never shouldve entered.”
How true. The media seems to be focused on finding a way to get rid of Trump while Yeb and candidates with very low poll numbers are never asked when they will drop out.
Which begs the question, just who is that electable alternative to Trump? I know we here on the center right love Cruz, I know that I do (despite the fact I truly believe Trump is the best choice right now) but the question is, can Cruz win the general?
Yes. He was a fool to ever start.
Yeb! The joyful tortoise... What a bore...can’t wait to see this dork make an exit.
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