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To: Berlin_Freeper
Based on the assumption that fumbles per play follow a normal distribution...

Unwarranted assumption alert...

20 posted on 01/24/2015 3:52:59 AM PST by Zeppo ("Happy Pony is on - and I'm NOT missing Happy Pony")
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To: Zeppo
Based on the assumption that fumbles per play follow a normal distribution...

Unwarranted assumption alert...

Bingo! I am a Giants' fan, but I am also a math guy who doesn't like to see statistics being misused. Perhaps there are reasons other than cheating to account for the Patriots' low fumble rate. Maybe Brady's quick, short passes and excellent decision-making allow him to get the ball out of his own hands quickly, thus reducing the number of strip-sacks, a very common means of turning the ball over. Maybe Belichick stresses ball security more than most, and makes that a priority when finalizing his roster.

A normal distribution would not result from superior coaching, play calling or quarterbacking. Those are not random aspects. Now, if I find that New England wins the coin toss 90% of the time, I'd believe all of the "cheating" hype.

25 posted on 01/24/2015 4:12:47 AM PST by TruthShallSetYouFree ( When dems win, it's a mandate. When we win, we must compromise.)
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To: Zeppo

Right. It’s tantamount to saying, assuming the team is average, the number of fumbles will be average.


38 posted on 01/24/2015 5:19:34 AM PST by WayneS (Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.)
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