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The world’s biggest chocolate-maker says we’re running out of chocolate
The Washington Post ^ | November 15, 2014 | Roberto A. Ferdman

Posted on 11/17/2014 10:38:15 AM PST by Bettyprob

There's no easy way to say this: You're eating too much chocolate, all of you. And it's getting so out of hand that the world could be headed towards a potentially disastrous scenario if it doesn't stop.

Those are, roughly speaking, the words of two huge chocolate makers, Mars, Inc. and Barry Callebaut. And there's some data to back them up.

Chocolate deficits, whereby farmers produce less cocoa than the world eats, are becoming the norm. Already, we are in the midst of what could be the longest streak of consecutive chocolate deficits in more than 50 years. It also looks like deficits aren't just carrying over from year-to-year—the industry expects them to grow. Last year, the world ate roughly 70,000 metric tons more cocoa than it produced. By 2020, the two chocolate-makers warn that that number could swell to 1 million metric tons, a more than 14-fold increase; by 2030, they think the deficit could reach 2 million metric tons.

The problem is, for one, a supply issue. Dry weather in West Africa (specifically in the Ivory Coast and Ghana, where more than 70 percent of the world's cocoa is produced) has greatly decreased production in the region. A nasty fungal disease known as frosty pod hasn't helped either. The International Cocoa Organization estimates it has wiped out between 30 percent and 40 percent of global coca production. Because of all this, cocoa farming has proven a particularly tough business, and many farmers have shifted to more profitable crops, like corn, as a result.

Then there's the world's insatiable appetite for chocolate. China's growing love for the stuff is of particular concern. The Chinese are buying more and more chocolate each year. Still, they only consume per capita about 5 percent of what the average Western European eats.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food
KEYWORDS: blameglobalwarming; chocolate
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To: Bettyprob

Women and minorities hardest hit.


21 posted on 11/17/2014 11:04:30 AM PST by PeteePie (Righteousness exalts a nation, but sin is a reproach to any people - Proverbs 14:34)
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To: Billthedrill

Well, I was going to start growing tobacco in the back yard just to piss-off Lefties.


22 posted on 11/17/2014 11:04:33 AM PST by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: Bettyprob

Oh no!

Obama is going to have to increase our chocolate rations from 30g per person per month to 20g.


23 posted on 11/17/2014 11:04:55 AM PST by Zeppo ("Happy Pony is on - and I'm NOT missing Happy Pony")
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To: Our man in washington; Bettyprob; dfwgator; tx_eggman
Last year, the world ate roughly 70,000 metric tons more cocoa than it produced. By 2020, the two chocolate-makers warn that that number could swell to 1 million metric tons, a more than 14-fold increase; by 2030, they think the deficit could reach 2 million metric tons.

It's this same kind of linear thinking without underlying physical or economical cycles taken into account, that has given us the Global Warming meme.
24 posted on 11/17/2014 11:07:49 AM PST by SpinnerWebb (IN-SAPORIBVS-SICVT-PVLLVM)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

The minimum for calling it ‘chocolate’ is 10%. So if the price doubled , I assume the actual chocolate bar would only go up 10%.

Instead of candy bars, I just buy bars or baker’s chocolate, which has a higher chocolate content, and isn’t nearly as sweet. So I’d be looking at a much bigger price increase.


25 posted on 11/17/2014 11:08:09 AM PST by lacrew
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To: Bettyprob

Clearly what is needed is for the federal government to set up a “strategic cocoa reserve” to mitigate the crisis.

Time for Obama to appoint a ‘Cocoa Czar’... Maybe establish it as a new cabinet position.

With any luck, maybe Jonathan Gruber will be available for that position.


26 posted on 11/17/2014 11:08:38 AM PST by Zeppo ("Happy Pony is on - and I'm NOT missing Happy Pony")
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To: Bettyprob

A stock market guy used to write under the pen name “Adam Smith”. In his book “The Money Game” he had a chapter called “The Chocolate Caper” about trying to make money on cocoa futures.


27 posted on 11/17/2014 11:12:49 AM PST by Fido969 (What's sad is most)
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To: Bettyprob

Yep, it’s about that time again: slow news day, so time to re-recycle one of the MSM’s favorite phony doomsday stories:

1. The world’s running out of chocolate.

2. The world’s running out of coffee.

3. Sunspots will cause the world to grind to a halt.

4. A killer computer virus is killing all the PCs.

5. The honey bees are all dying and the food crops will all fail from lack of pollination.

Have I missed anything important? (And global warming and “climate change” don’t count because those never leave the news in the first place.)


28 posted on 11/17/2014 11:13:42 AM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: Bettyprob
But Willy has a chocolate river!


29 posted on 11/17/2014 11:16:11 AM PST by BCW (ARMIS EXPOSCERE PACEM)
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To: Bettyprob

Have they tried fracking for it? We will all die without chocolate.


30 posted on 11/17/2014 11:17:31 AM PST by showme_the_Glory ((ILLEGAL: prohibited by law. ALIEN: Owing political allegiance to another country or government))
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To: SpinnerWebb
might be the problem...


31 posted on 11/17/2014 11:18:25 AM PST by BCW (ARMIS EXPOSCERE PACEM)
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To: Bettyprob

Sooooo .... cocoa futures?


32 posted on 11/17/2014 11:24:07 AM PST by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: PeteePie

Hard-working American men and women have a RIGHT to chocolate. We must make sure that all Americans have equal access to chocolate at prices that won’t bust the budgets of these hard-working American men and women who are working so hard.

That is why I am today proposing legislation that will level the playing field for these hard-working American chocolate consumers. And, in order to make sure that greedy chocolate producers do not engage in market manipulation or predatory pricing, I am creating a new federal agency: the Department of Chocolate Regulation And Pricing, just to show that I give a C.R.A.P.


33 posted on 11/17/2014 11:27:28 AM PST by Walrus (I love the America that used to be ---I hate the America that now IS!)
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To: Bettyprob; cuban leaf; Kartographer

now THIS is SHTF material !!!


34 posted on 11/17/2014 11:28:09 AM PST by onona (Obama's entire term reads like a John Semmens post.)
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To: Bettyprob

No chocolate. No bacon. What’s the point of humanity continuing?


35 posted on 11/17/2014 11:37:56 AM PST by Ken H
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To: Bettyprob

Frackolate!


36 posted on 11/17/2014 11:43:14 AM PST by dasboot
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To: Bettyprob

Mrs. Scoutmaster will be inconsolable when I show her this. I don’t even think guacamole will help.


37 posted on 11/17/2014 11:47:28 AM PST by Scoutmaster (Opinions don't affect facts. But facts should affect opinions, and do, if you're rational)
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To: Bettyprob

Every year around the holidays, they say the same thing. It’s just an excuse to raise the price and to get people to stock up.


38 posted on 11/17/2014 11:50:08 AM PST by bgill (CDC site, "we still do not know exactly how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: Darksheare; Monkey Face; Tax-chick; no-to-illegals; NoCmpromiz; fanfan; ColdOne; Cyber Liberty; ...

Chocolate famine, PING!
“ This is not a Drill!”


39 posted on 11/17/2014 11:51:31 AM PST by moose07 (the truth will out ,one day. Barry is counter revolutionary ,Denounce him!)
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To: Bettyprob

CHOCOLATE SHORTAGE IS DUE TO GLOBAL WARMING....

THE HORROR!!!


40 posted on 11/17/2014 11:51:57 AM PST by seawolf101
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