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To: MUDDOG

I looked at Silvers articles. He had a landslide at 30% and solid win at 35% (51-53) seats. I thought it was a respectable call.


7 posted on 11/08/2014 3:47:16 PM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Caipirabob

But look at these numbers, he was off by 12 points in GA!


9 posted on 11/08/2014 3:54:11 PM PST by MNDude
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To: Caipirabob
What stood out to me in his post-election analysis was the year-by-year chart of how the polls missed in past elections, and it looked to me like there might be a previously-unidentified statistical fluctuation involved, apart from the usual sample errors that have long been taken into account.

If there is, Nate's the guy to find it.

10 posted on 11/08/2014 3:54:11 PM PST by MUDDOG
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