Posted on 09/25/2014 12:56:40 PM PDT by Signalman
The Great Pause has now persisted for 17 years 11 months. Indeed, to three decimal places on a per-decade basis, there has been no global warming for 18 full years. Professor Ross McKitrick, however, has upped the ante with a new statistical paper to say there has been no global warming for 19 years. Whichever value one adopts, it is becoming harder and harder to maintain that we face a “climate crisis”
Remote Sensing Systems’ satellite-based monthly global mean lower-troposphere temperature dataset, there has been no global warming – none at all – for at least 215 months.
This is the longest continuous period without any warming in the global instrumental temperature record since the satellites first watched in 1979. It has endured for half the satellite temperature record. Yet the Great Pause coincides with a continuing, rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration.
The hiatus period of 17 years 11 months, or 215 months, is the farthest back one can go in the RSS satellite temperature record and still show a sub-zero trend. Yet the length of the Great Pause in global warming, significant though it now is, is of less importance than the ever-growing discrepancy between the temperature trends predicted by models and the far less exciting real-world temperature change that has been observed.
The First Assessment Report predicted that global temperature would rise by 1.0 [0.7, 1.5] Cº to 2025, equivalent to 2.8 [1.9, 4.2] Cº per century. The executive summary asked, “How much confidence do we have in our predictions?” IPCC pointed out some uncertainties (clouds, oceans, etc.), but concluded:
“Nevertheless, … we have substantial confidence that models can predict at least the broad-scale features of climate change. …
(Excerpt) Read more at climatedepot.com ...
In real science the discrepancy between the model and actual observed temperatures would cause the model to be discarded. Calling it a "hiatus" from the predicted model temperatures is a joke. If the real data doesn't fit the predictions for 17 years the model is false.
No one talks about Global Warming anymore. That is so early 21st Century. Now it is all about Global Climate Change.™
The problem with the Global Cooling and Global Warming scams is that eventually even the most low information rubes had to realize that all of the predictions ever made were wrong.
The world is getting colder. In 20 years we are going to have another ice age. Only it didn’t happen.
The world is getting warmer. In 20 years the polar ice caps will melt and the seas will rise. Only it didn’t happen.
That is why Global Climate Change™ is so much better. Global Climate Change™ is the scam that can never be proven wrong.
Is it warmer than usual today? It is caused by Global Climate Change.™
Is it colder than usual today? It is caused by Global Climate Change.™
Is it wetter than usual today? It is caused by Global Climate Change.™
Is it dryer than usual today? It is caused by Global Climate Change.™
Is it windier, less windy, cloudier, less cloudy? It doesn’t matter! There will always be weather. Now, whenever there is bad weather, no matter what the weather happens to be, it is caused by Global Climate Change.™
Notice how the environmental whackos on the left rarely talk about real water and air pollution anymore and instead focus entirely on CO2?
The leftists have always called for more socialist/marxist government control as the cure for pollution (and everything else). Pollution, don’t you see, is caused by capitalism.
Then the iron curtain fell and it became irrefutable that the worst polluters in the history of the world were the former communist countries, most of which had become large toxic waste dumps. People generally don’t pollute property that they own. People have no such restraint about polluting property that belongs to someone else. Pollution, the world could see, is caused by socialism.
So now the entire focus is CO2, because the United States, having the world’s largest economy, naturally produces the most CO2 per capita. Never mind that CO2 is a trace gas that is necessary for the survival of life on Earth.
This time socialism will work!
Don’t confuse the warmists with the facts. The science is “settled” doncha know.
That’s a pretty complicated set of data there.
I stick with warming/cooling based on if I have to wear a coat or not.
The AGW crowd is all over this recent video, and they are using it at every opportunity. Has anyone seen a point by point rebuttal of this yet?
“The AGW crowd is all over this recent video, and they are using it at every opportunity. Has anyone seen a point by point rebuttal of this yet?”
See this:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/09/25/the-latest-hand-wringing-myth-buster-video-roundly-debunked/
Much appreciated!
BTW, I thought Global Climate Change ™ is already passé ?
Isn't the latest iteration of the hoax called Global Climate Disruption ™ ?!
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