'Real risk' Ebola virus will mutate to become an AIRBORNE disease, expert warns

dailymail.co.uk ^ | 11:12 EST, 12 September 2014 | Lizzie Parry for MailOnline

[BenLurkin]

As the Ebola outbreak rampages through Africa scientists are privately concerned the virus could mutate to become airborne, one expert has warned.

So far 2,300 people have lost their lives to the disease with more than 4,300 cases recorded in West Africa in the last six months - the worst outbreak since the disease was discovered in 1976.

The World Health Organisation has warned there may be thousands of new cases each week in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Nigeria by early October.

Fifteen countries could be hit by the outbreak - putting the lives of 22 million people at risk, a new study has revealed.

But behind closed doors, virologists fear what we have seen so far may be just the tip of the iceberg

[TurboZamboni]

Time for more ‘diversity visas’ and amnesty now! /sarc

[Steely Tom]

Like any virus, it will do what it has to do to propagate efficiently.

[lilypad]

Yep keep bringing them over to our hospitals. Especially where people have compromised immune systems.

[Vermont Lt]

Those folks are going to be the least of our worries.

Its the people who fly in without symptoms and develop them weeks later. After riding subways, going to work, and getting their joo-joo juice all over everything.

But, as I am sure you suspect, that will be game over.

[grumpygresh]

Keep the borders open and martial law at home.
I’m sure that the eugenicists and population control freaks are ecstatic.

[donozark]

Less than 300 doctors in all Liberia. Medical profession hard hit by this illness.

[Buckeye McFrog]

2014: Less than 300 doctors in all Liberia. Medical profession hard hit by this illness.

2024: Less than 300 doctors in all of the U.S. Medical profession hard hit by Obamacare.

[TurboZamboni]

Barry’s going to outsource even his death panels.

[DannyTN]

This graph hasn't been updated for the Sept 10 figures, because the vertical isn't high enough. Latest WHO report has 4846 cases, 2375 deaths. Note you can't divide deaths by cases to get a death rate, because a lot of the cases are new and haven't had a chance to die yet.

On Aug 21 I projected at the then current rate of spread, we'd have 10,000 cases in 30 days. Cases have doubled since that time. Still got 9 days to go, but it now looks like it will be Sept 30 before we get to 10,000, instead of Sept 21st.

[DannyTN]

When I first calculated that projection the spread was at 5% a day. Over the last week, it looks like it's spreading at 3% a day.

So using the new spread rate 4846*1.03^9=
6,322 cases by Sept 21.
11,762 cases by October 12th.
69,300 cases by December 12th.

Still very serious if health care was breaking down with 2400 cases. How is it going to hold up to 11,000 or 69,000?

Meanwhile WHO moans he fact that nobody will travel anymore and surrounding countries are instituting the quarantine that WHO refused to call for.

[PGalt]

Thanks for posting. Health/life BUMP!

[bgill]

Wait just a minute, we were all promised this wouldn't happen!!!

Coming soon to a neighborhood near you courtesy the obola administration.

[SisterK]

ping

[murron]

Didn’t they say this about AIDS?

[null and void]

Eeeee-bolllll-aaaaaa ping!

Bring Out Your Dead

We’re gonna need

a bigger cart!

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

[Tolerance Sucks Rocks]

PING!

[Smokin' Joe]

Ping...

A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread

[Alamo-Girl]

Thanks for the ping!

[Smokin' Joe]

You’re Welcome, Alamo-Girl!