A meaningless statement without statistics to back it up.
Time will tell.
Math tells us now.
Allow me to speak the following, definitively: 2 + 2 = 4.
Am I right about that? Or shall we wait for time to tell us the answer to this too?
Weak response given that your premise is “...it cannot as a matter of Constitutional law, and it will not even try to.”
Is there any math in that? What we are seeing more than any previous time is that certain factions are ignoring the rule of law. So while you fall back on the Constitution (which I also believe should be followed), others (who I consider the bad guys) do not. And when they do not, the certainty you posit is no longer a certainty. Again, only time will tell if the Constitution prevails.
We do not see any Rat states talking or wanting to secede because they are the bad guys who need the lifeblood of others to survive. But they are also the ones who selectively ignore and enforce laws. If what ME wants is what it takes to begin to choke off Washington, so be it.