Posted on 02/05/2012 2:21:32 PM PST by NautiNurse
We interrupt Super Bowl Sunday to bring you News of the Weird Weather...
The first Super Sunday Tropical Invest in history formed this morning in the Yucatan Channel between Mexico and Cuba, and is slowly becoming more organized as it moves northeast towards Southwest Florida. The new disturbance, dubbed Invest 90L by NHC late this morning, has a modest but growing area of heavy thunderstorms near its center. Visible satellite imagery shows a pronounced spin at middle levels of the atmosphere, and 90L may be able to close off a surface circulation if it can find 24 more hours of marginally favorable conditions.
Jeff Masters gives Invest 90 a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression. Both the GFS and ECMWF models predict that the shear will remain below 25 knots through Monday, so there is some potential for continued development of 90L as it moves northeast towards South Florida. On Monday afternoon or evening, the storm will merge with a cold front and move over South Florida, bringing heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches and sustained winds of 20 - 25 mph.
Hmmm... a tropical storm in February. Crazy weather.
I initially thought it was a new stocks future. :)
That said, we could use the rain.
I initially thought it was a new stocks IPO. :)
That said, we could use the rain.
I initially thought it was a new stocks IPO. :)
That said, we could use the rain. The 20-25 MPH winds is a two club wind...
Sorry for the multiple and changed posts. Site is running kinda slow and I thought I caught them in time to not post them.
I have friends on Marco Island and he’s been very sick. Hope they aren’t affected.
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For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
A non-tropical low pressure system interacting with an upper-level trough is producing widespread cloudiness...showers...and scattered thunderstorms across much of western and central Cuba...the lower Florida Keys...and adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea...southeastern Gulf of Mexico...and the Florida Straits. The low is centered just west of the western tip of Cuba...and a surface circulation center is gradually becoming better defined. Shower activity has been slowly increasing and has become better organized today...and if this development trend continues...then a subtropical depression or a subtropical storm could form during the next day or so before the disturbance merges with a cold front. This system has a medium chance...30 percent...of becoming a subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly north-northeastward tonight and Monday morning...before turning northeastward at 10 to 15 mph toward South Florida and the Florida Keys by Monday afternoon and evening. Regardless of development... this system will likely bring locally heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds to portions of the Florida Keys and South Florida over the next couple of days. Additional information on this system can be found in offshore waters forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header miaoffnt3 and WMO header fznt24 knhc...and also in products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. Additional special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as needed.
Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
$$ Forecaster Stewart
Someone better tell the groundhog
I’ve been thankful for the warm weather. My bones don’t like the cold. I’ve been wondering if it’s going to be a busy storm year.
We may have our first hint in Feb.
My pool is over the top (that's 8+ inches) and the streets of Key West, with the aid of conch engineering, are flooded
.
Hey NN,
Well, we could use some rain. Hope it makes it up our way...the water hazards on our course are drying up :)
Wait, what happened here?
Tis not the season to be breezy, although a little more rain would be nice. ;)
Yes—we need the rain. Reclaimed water has been turned off most days this week. I’ve been cheating and running the irrigation pump.
LOL!
I was looking at the long range radar early this morning and saw that little guy. I was watching it move in the loop and thought to myself, “No freaking way.”
I can’t believe it became something to watch in February.
Ditto!
Thanks NN we have had steady rain all night and into today but its not what I would call a game changer,slowing our bumper to bumper traffic but that’s about it.
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