Is there any way to predict how big this will ultimately be or do we have to wait and see?
Also would not common sense indicate travel warnings from the state dept. for travel to at least Mexico City if not all of Mexico?
No, there’s not. It depends on what the virus does. The travel to/from Mexico is an interesting question. There is so much that I have to wonder if the “horse hasn’t already left the barn”, so to speak. I also wonder if there hasn’t been quite a few cases here that we simply didn’t identify. We will certainly see more cases identified over the next week, but again, we could have had many cases over the last couple of weeks that were not identified, particularly if they were mild.
More time needed for surveillance. This is the end of the typical flu season. No fatalities in U.S. to date. Could be because we have baseline better nutrition and access to health care. Could be the Mexican fatalities have co-morbidities. Chances are good someone somewhere in the U.S. will succumb to this flu and die. When that happens, most important is to learn whether they were already compromised, or otherwise healthy. That will ultimately determine the worry factor. Until then, watch, wait, and practice common sense cleanliness. This is not even close to FUBAR status.
Also would not common sense indicate travel warnings from the state dept. for travel to at least Mexico City if not all of Mexico?
Politics always trumps common sense.