Posted on 10/21/2020 6:58:05 PM PDT by CheshireTheCat
Anyone that reads my articles knows I’m a bit of a natural cynic. That’s not necessarily bad in politics, but it’s not always an asset either. I’ve certainly gotten my share of ribbing in the comments over it, sometimes deservedly so. When I look at the 2020 race, my first impression is that Trump’s last debate performance hurt him and that Biden is in a decent position to win the race. Yet, I’ve also noticed that things are starting to look a lot like 2016, especially on the state level, which is the most important, yet most ignored part of the horse race given the media usually focus on shock “Biden +10 nationally” polls.
Now, those 2016 flashbacks are growing stronger. Eddie Zipperer of The Daily Caller put out a thread this morning which busts a lot of the narratives proclaiming Joe Biden to be inevitable. In fact, Trump is in a better position today in 2020 than he was on this same day in 2016. That seems rather important to me.
Note that the number on the Clinton graphs are the final average, not the average Zipperer is citing, which is on this specific day in 2016. In other words, yes, the race tightened further, but Trump was in worse shape two weeks out then than he is today....
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
Remember: Trump was coming down with Covid during the first debate. We all know how short-tempered we are when we don't feel well.
Trump has to do something for an hour tomorrow that makes him happy and relaxed, whatever that might be for him. I don't think for him it is the usual, such as getting a massage or soaking in a hot tub.
Maybe he should play scrabble with the grandkids.
Rush brought the Wuhan Virus issue up days ago. Telling his audience that Donald Trump during that first debate was not Donald Trump he knows. And, that it was in hindsight obvious he was suffering the symptoms of the virus during that debate.
Did Bonchi, whoever the hell Bonchie is hear Rush’s segment on this and simply pick it up and run with it? My bet is, that is exactly what this Bonchie character did.
Eddie Zipperer of The Daily Caller...
—
Is this Jeffry Toobin’s pen-name?
The article tended to disregard early voting—big mistake.
Those numbers have a story to tell—all the writer had to do was their _homework_:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wf6yr_McIFs&feature=youtu.be
The video walks you through a comparison between what the polls said the early voting would be vs what the actual early voting was.
Bottom line—Biden is performing hundreds of thousands of votes below expectations by the pollsters. The Biden campaign is in complete meltdown mode.
Bonchie didn’t mention Trump being sick hurting his performance. I did it. And I thought of this the Saturday after the debate when I heard Trump went to Walter Reed. I figured if bad enough to agree to go to Walter Reed that he must not have been feeling too great the night of the debate. I’m sure this thought occurred to millions of others.
I’m just pointing out that Trump should theoretically be feeling much more up for this debate tomorrow night. Joe is the one who is going to be on edge.
Democrats made sure that their democrat voters voted early and by mail, so that they could not change their minds in the last few weeks.
Can’t undo their votes, no matter how much they or any other party voters regret their votes.
Advantage (in that case): democrats.
Thanks for the feedback. But, I still must ask, who/what the heck is a Bonchie? And, why should anyone care? Real question. No sarcasm.
I remember four years ago seeing articles about a few Hillary voters who went to their local boards of elections to see how they could change their vote in the wake of Comey reopening the investigation into her.
As a way to measure diminished enthusiasm, or a least a sense of embarrassment for openly supporting Biden, I might drive through various housing developments this Saturday and list who has Biden signs and then drive through the same ones next Saturday to measure the impact of what I suspect will be a rocky week for Demonrats.
They didn’t all vote early.
False narrative. I doubt if these early voters are the type to change their minds . The Republicans need to get out their voters. That is the key turnout.
They wouldn’t have changed their minds, those are hard core Democrats. What is important is the GOP swamping them in new voters.
I hope that President Trump works on a Jeffery Toobin joke around Biden’s expense.
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