Posted on 10/17/2018 10:07:10 AM PDT by spacewarp
Oh. That’s really optimistic. 5-7 possible. But then you’re betting on Vukmir and Hugin and Morrissey-—ALL of them.
Don’t see anything on Casey-Barletta in Pennsylvania - could be a turnover with Barletta an attractive Trump-like candidate for the ‘pubs - Trump’s even been in state to campaign for him - but his campaign is pretty lackluster - a couple of good TV ads attacking Casey’s record of non-achievement but not much else that I can see - Casey’s got a couple of ads running emphasizing his “bipartisan” achievements, as meager as they are, and may squeak by - on the other hand I’m in the Philly area - since Pennsylvania was once described as Philadelphia and Pittsburg with Alabama in between - it was Alabama that gave Penna to Trump, and Barletta is probably concentrating his efforts there - he could pull it out......
I’d love to see Murphy go down, I think Connecticut might get a red wave in Hartford.
Or lose -5 to -8 And still keep the House
Good work! I actually think PA is in play. The dems used to have 4 areas in PA: Scranton, Harrisburg, Pittsburg (plus Southwest PA), and Philly. Trump has knocked off Scranton and is well on his way to Pittsburg (having already obtained Southwest PA). Plus he boosted Erie. Philly was already voting at 105% of registered voters. It will be hard to boost that kind of turnout.
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