[Old Retired Army Guy]

If Trump can go ahead in PA and Michigan, Sabato will throw his old playbook away.

[KC_Conspirator]

How is Trump polling in MI? (and WI for that matter too) I have seen him ahead in OH, FL, IA, and NV recently.

[AppyPappy]

That will depend on how Trump does in the urban areas. They are gamed to provide enough votes for the Democrat to win the state.
Each precinct captain will be rolling a new BNW in November, compliments of Hillary.

[TheRef]

Or even just New Hampshire. He’s relying on conventional wisdom in a realignment year. Mistake.

[HamiltonJay]

Trump will take PA, MI, WI, OH and IA.. Basically he will have the entire Rust belt sans MN and IL...

And honestly, because of the mess Rahm has made in Chicago, combined with the complete Apathy toward Clinton... you may even see IL flip... if Turnout winds up depressed in Chicago area, and it doesn’t bring out enough to overwhelm the rest of the state. I am not saying that this is what will happen, I am just saying I would not be completely gobsmacked if IL did wind up surprising.

[Tanniker Smith]

For all the talk of coal, I'm still wondering if Trump can overcome Philadelphia. One big city, everything is close (toss in "corrupt" if you want). He needs a lot of folks who have to travel to get out and vote for him.

He does have other options other than PA, but that one would put it away!