His support comes from mostly from a single demographic if you can call it that. These are angry white middle to lower middle class citizens of which I am one. And too often, being angry (as we should be) we assume that a majority of Americans are likewise,...but we should not assume that they are angry for the same reasons. I would speculate that Trump’s general election support is a function of his primary support which will never get close to 50% even if Kasich and Cruz were to drop out. Trump cannot win a general election against Hillary Clinton. His negatives are too high and there is little evidence of his being willing or able to elaborate informed statements on how he would address the nation’s most urgent problems. I hope that the convention mechanisms resolve the issue or that Trump undergoes a poltical metamorphosis that will enable a GOP victory in 2016. But right now I would say there is no possibility for that to happen. I am more apprehensive that I am excited over the prospect of a Donald Trump campaign for president.
“His support comes from mostly from a single demographic if you can call it that. These are angry white middle to lower middle class citizens of which I am one. “
Since most people are spoon-fed from the media, I doubt you know that this ‘single demographic’ represents about 50% of the voting public.
I think you are wrong. Donald Trump draws huge crowds, generates energy and enthusiasm among previously apathetic non-voters. I saw this phenomenon once before, a candidate claimed by the elites to be non-electable, hated and despised by the media, feared by the left, and his name was Ronald Reagan. Donald Trump will win, and he will have coattails if these idiotic elites will just shut up!
Good point. When a party wins, people tend to assume that their voters are going to be with them forever.
There are some who still think that people who voted for Reagan thirty years ago and haven't voted Republican since are just waiting to vote for Trump (or Cruz) if he gets the nomination.
Maybe, maybe not. Trump stands a better chance of winning those votes than Cruz (though he'll lose votes elsewhere), but it's not something one can simply assume to be true.