FR Contest: Guess the date that Israel bombs Iran's nuclear sites

one man's opinion...

[ken5050]

Well, let's see now. America has caved to Iran, all but guaranteeing that the mad mullahs will continue their push to develop a nuclear weapon; while now getting $100 billion, give or take a few rials, to spread around the world supporting terrorist groups. While Obama may think this is a good thing, Israeli PM Netanyahu feels different, and is unlikely to let Iran achieve a nuclear device. Thus, we must consider when, not if, Israel moves to strike against Iran's nuclear sites.

[Mamzelle]

Guess the date that Iran bombs nyc

[Cyclops08]

09/11/15

[paratrooper82]

Won't be until after dumdum is out of office! The entire dog and pony show with Iran was to protect the Islamist from being bombed by Israel and the world powers while Obama was in office!

[ThunderSleeps]

If Israel is going to do it, they are going to need help. It is just too challenging (tactically and logistically) for the IAF to do on their own. With bammy in office, we are certainly not going to help. However, I would not rule out Saudi Arabia as a temporary ally of convenience to knock back a common enemy.

The question there will be, will Saudi green-light the strike while they are already on a war footing running missions into Yemen and have a strong coalition? Or will they want to wrap up one conflict before potentially igniting another?

Strategically, there is not much reason to wait. Delaying gives Iran time to learn more, make more progress, and disperse that knowledge (experimental results, designs, etc.) away from the threatened sites.

My prediction: between 60 and 90 days after the sanctions are lifted, if they are lifted. With Saudi help - at a minimum a safe air corridor through Saudi airspace and tanker support or refueling at Saudi airfields. At the high end of support, Saudi pilots flying supporting missions such as striking airfields etc. Something they're getting a lot of practice at right now in Yemen.

[buckalfa]

What's the over/under on whether Obama will order US air power to attack the IDF jets if Israel launches an attack?

[arthurus]

I suspect it won’t happen until Israel judges that the risk of an Iranian nuclear attack on Tel Aviv is worth having to fight past the US Navy. I believe the US military presence in the area is intended to prevent an Israeli action against Iran. The desultory attacks on ISIS are enough to say that hey, we are there to fight ISIS, but not enough to actually impede much less destroy ISIS. Hussein is on the Moslem Brotherhood side and is acting accordingly. If he can facilitate an Iranian nuking of one or more Israeli cities it will provoke an Israeli devastation of Iran from IDF subs and remote launchers. The result would be the elimination of the Shia center of power and the decapitation of the Jewish center of power at the same time. What more could a Sunni sultan desire?

[ctdonath2]

Methinks covert action couldn’t deliver the sheer scale of destruction necessary to wipe out the target, between extensive hardening of facilities and just the sheer size.

For an initial SWAG, I’ll toss out night of September 13. Whenever it is, has to be a new moon for darkness; that date enjoys a solar eclipse as well, not directly affecting that region but at least provides an additional natural distraction. That’s also close enough to now to “get inside their OODA loop” and otherwise be disruptively fast (at least on a diplomatic scale).

[arthurus]

Hussein is probably trying for an Iranian nuclear attack on Israel before the end of next year when he is supposed to leave office. Israel probably cannot mount a strike against Iran before February of 2017, maybe later, due to the high likelihood that Hussein has promised Netanyahu that an Israeli launch would be met with the full force of the USN carriers in the area.

I believe the mutual extinguishment of Israel and Iran is the legacy that Hussein desires.

[TruthInThoughtWordAndDeed]

The Psalm 83 War will be fought from September 13 to September 23.

See also Jeremiah 49:

https://unsealedprophecy.wordpress.com/2012/03/07/israel-will-destroy-irans-bushehr-nuclear-reactor-the-jeremiah-49-prophecy/

[niteowl77]

Mossad will assure that their top scientists have inexplicable “accidents.”

If Mossad is that good, why have they let it get to this point at all? Don't get me wrong- I also wish a handful of intrepid Israelis could do what the rest of Western Civilization lacks the balls to do. I just don't think it will happen, barring a pretty obvious divine intervention.

Mr. niteowl77

[dps.inspect]

The whole purpose behind Obama’s treaty with Iran is to force Israel to act against Iran, which of course will ignite a war with a very powerful Iran. Obama’s calculation is to start a war in the hopes of wiping Israel off the face of the map. Obama just may be the antichrist... if not, he is the top candidate.

[odawg]

June 17, 2017

[teeman8r]

Aug 5 2016...

they will foil a plan of Iran’s to set a nuke off on Sept 11...

no one will believe the evidence. but it will be shown to be true by the level of radiation.

[ETL]

May 18, 2008: Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, these countries are tiny compared to the Soviet Union. They don't pose a serious threat to us. ...they spend 1/100th of what we spend on the military. I mean, if Iran ever tried to pose a serious threat to us, they wouldn't stand a chance.

_________________________________

May 20, 2008 (2 days later!): Iran is a grave threat. It has an illicit nuclear program. It supports terrorism across the regions and militias in Iraq. It threatens Israel's existence. It denies the Holocaust.

Source for these genuine Obama quotes: NewsBusters.org:
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/brad-wilmouth/2008/05/23/fnc-shows-obamas-iran-flip-flop-colmes-might-talk-hitler

May 18, 2008: Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, these countries are tiny compared to the Soviet Union. They don't pose a serious threat to us. ...they spend 1/100th of what we spend on the military. I mean, if Iran ever tried to pose a serious threat to us, they wouldn't stand a chance.

_________________________________

May 20, 2008 (2 days later!): Iran is a grave threat. It has an illicit nuclear program. It supports terrorism across the regions and militias in Iraq. It threatens Israel's existence. It denies the Holocaust.

Source for these genuine Obama quotes: NewsBusters.org:
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/brad-wilmouth/2008/05/23/fnc-shows-obamas-iran-flip-flop-colmes-might-talk-hitler

[yefragetuwrabrumuy]

This may not be as easy as it sounds. The window for a *conventional* strike is likely closed, meaning that an *unconventional* strike would have a much better chance to succeed, and with fewer casualties, and it would be a huge plus if it had “plausible deniability”. That is, no clear attribution to Israel.

A major vulnerability of uranium enrichment is that it is vital to have a powerful and uninterrupted power source. And the most reliable power Iran has is hydroelectric.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_dams_and_reservoirs_in_Iran

So taking out several dams would not just severely disrupt their nuclear program, but cause widespread power outages and water shortage. Importantly, destroying a dam can also destroy other dams downstream. This happened in Soviet Georgia, when a single dam collapse took out four other dams.

It would be a major undertaking as an unconventional operation, taking out several dams at once, but if done properly would have a devastating effect, have a high degree of plausible deniability. And might also end any prospect of an advantageous nuclear treaty with the US.

[outofsalt]

"Hopefully while Obama is still in office visiting Iran"

I'm willing to bet Amoeba will go to Iran to personally hug the Ayatollah and hand him the signing bonus. That would be a fine time to level Tehran.

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

Jan. 20th, 2017.

[KC Burke]

October 10th

[Joe Boucher]

Bibi and Israel should have nuked Iran long ago.

[kiltie65]

“The whole purpose behind Obama’s treaty with Iran is to force Israel to act against Iran, which, of course, will ignite a war with a very powerful Iran. Obama’s calculation is to start a war in the hopes of wiping Israel off the face of the map. Obama just may be the antichrist...if not, he is the top candidate.”

The above statement is right on...needs repeating.