muir_redwoods: "They’re just waving the bloody shirt trying to mobilize the base."
muir_redwoods has at least half of it.
But the other half is just as important: if Dems win even one of those 22 Senate races, they will proclaim "victory".
Yes, this article is all about motivating their base, but it's also about managing expectations, so that no matter how badly things go for them, they can still claim to be "winners".
The “Daily Kos article” on which this thread is based is a post by someone trolling Daily Kos who immediately got banned (check the comments). It does not represent what the Kossacks are thinking, or even what the Kossacks want us to think that they’re thinking. It’s the equivalent of some liberal signing up at FR and posting how the GOP is going to lose Senate seats and lose the House.
Regarding the claims in the post, they are preposterous. I am more bullush than most, but it is ridiculous to believe that the GOP will win the Senate races in DE, IL and OR (NJ, NM and VA are possibly, although huge longshots, and MI and M are unlikely as well). In the House, he lists every potentially winnable seat—although many of them are not winnable with the candidates that we have and with the level of funding that they have—and also threw in a few districts that betray his ignorance (for example, Sanford Bishop came close to losing in a huge upset in GA-02 in 2010, but redistricting made his dustrict black-majority and entirely safe for any Democrat, particularly its incumbent). And as for the governor’s races: quite a bit of fantasy there as well.
I think that we’re going to gave a great night next Tuesday, with net pickups of 10 in the Senate and maybe 20 in the House, and that we could end up with 38 of the 50 governorships. But, barring something unforeseen, we’re not going to approach the fantasy set out by the guy trolling Daily Kos.