No wins 52-48
Those projections are based on traditional polling methodology. Which may in fact turn out to be accurate. But this referendum is open to 16 and 17 year olds and I’ve got a sneaking feeling that the polls may not reflect what’s going to happen. The passion is all on one side and the “No” campaign has been so pathetic as to make the usual Republican effort over here look slick. We should know by this evening, or around 9:00 PM EST (2:00 AM GMT).