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To: DIRTYSECRET

The strategic oil reserve is literally a drop in the bucket of world demand - its totality doesn’t amount to enough to cause any Sultan to break a sweat. BUT, it’s strategic to the U.S. in the event of some unforeseeable catastrophic interruption in supply; even at that, it only amounts to a few days usage for the U.S., it’s not worth much as a weapon as you seem to see it.


4 posted on 03/20/2014 8:32:24 PM PDT by Rembrandt (Part of the 51% who pay Federal taxes)
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To: Rembrandt

At its capacity, the SPR holds about 35 days of normal usage for the US. In a real emergency, that number would be about 70 days, maybe even 100.

It should always be full and never released outside of a genuine national emergency. Putting it all on the market at once would would have a negligible impact on the market for a brief period. It would ultimately harm us a hell of a lot more than Putin. Which is why it’s actually possible that this government might be considering such an idiotic thing.


7 posted on 03/20/2014 8:43:48 PM PDT by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard (If you don't stand up, you don't stand a chance.)
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To: Rembrandt; WhistlingPastTheGraveyard; Army Air Corps; DIRTYSECRET
it’s strategic to the U.S. in the event of some unforeseeable catastrophic interruption in supply; even at that, it only amounts to a few days usage for the U.S.

- - - - -

At its capacity, the SPR holds about 35 days of normal usage for the US. In a real emergency, that number would be about 70 days, maybe even 100.

Currently the SPR holds 696 million barrels.

http://www.spr.doe.gov/dir/dir.html

The actual capacity is 727 million barrels.

http://energy.gov/fe/services/petroleum-reserves

Recently in June 2011, the President directed a sale of 30 million barrels of crude oil to offset disruptions in supply due to Middle East unrest. The United States acted in coordination with its partners in the International Energy Agency (IEA). IEA countries released all together a total of 60 million barrels of petroleum.

http://energy.gov/fe/services/petroleum-reserves/strategic-petroleum-reserve

The US consumes about 16 mmbpd (million barrels per day) of refined product. Total petroleum product is higher at +19 mmbpd but that includes natural gas liquids and ethanol.

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_cons_psup_dc_nus_mbblpd_m.htm

Many people do the math of 696 ÷ 16 = 43.5 days and claim that is our time for using the SPR. But that is foolish for several reasons.

First of all, if there was something like an OPEC embargo again, Texas, North Dakota and the like are not going to shut down there wells. We don't import 16 mmbpd of oil, we import ~7.5 mmbpd.

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbblpd_m.htm

Even if there is a full out world war, I don't see Canada or the like stopping there sale of oil (and our flow of dollars) in any event. All of our OPEC imports total about 3.5 mmbpd. We get a tiny 0.03 mmbpd from Russia.

So what is the total need the SPR would have to replace? Maybe 4 mmbpd?

That number is also good in that the SPR can only withdraw 4.4 mmbpd. There is only so many pumps and pipes, and there are certainly limits of being able to load ships.

http://energy.gov/fe/services/petroleum-reserves/strategic-petroleum-reserve/spr-quick-facts-and-faqs

So 696 ÷ 4.4 = 158 days.

This is still likely faster than we would need it. If OPEC or others are not selling oil to us, they are going to look for other customers. Any major crisis is going to raise not lower their expenses. If they sell to someone who normally buys from someone else, that original supplier is going to have surplus oil for sale.

23 posted on 03/21/2014 5:16:12 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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