What a pathetic exercise in thinking inside of the box. Sounds like parksstp has read one too many articles about how Romney can “eek out” a win.
Sorry, not buying it. All signs point to a wave election. But here’s more evidence that some people are just too insecure to read the writing on the wall.
If only! This one's gonna be close...damn close.Why? Because Romney was giving out inaccurate info in that "secret" tape.It's not 47%.....it's at least 49.5%
If you think this was a bad exercise, then this was probably really bad
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhTof708DeHWdFJFUm1KSTAzMFZaeGJoal9Ob1EwV0E#gid=0
I went county-by-county projecting the vote for Romney and Obama, basing the counties previous results on the Bush/Kerry, Strickland/Kasich, Obama/McCain, and Union question to determine the probable votes for Romney and Obama in each county. My model shows Romney by about 12,000 votes.
Here’s one for Nevada. Same thing, same analyzed race data from 2004, 2008, and 2010. Obama has Romney by at least 3 points here, unless Romney does the unthinkable and runs at the same level as Sandoval, which is highly unlikely.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhTof708DeHWdDZXaFNqMEYzQXRINUp2OGJZWkc3MWc#gid=0
And then IA. By the margin of one suburb, I think Obama will survive in IA. I don’t see Romney getting to 770,000 votes here, but I don’t see Obama dropping below 765,000.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhTof708DeHWdElyaEVzZzROUW1Zb3l2MGpxcGpIanc#gid=0