Skip to comments.The Folly of David Axelrod’s Turnout Model
Posted on 10/30/2012 2:07:50 PM PDT by mojito
Much of this blog is spent arguing persuasively I hope why the polling data and get out the vote activities favor Mitt Romney this election cycle. But if President Obama wins re-election where could all of this analysis have erred?
Possibly the final remaining question that will determine the election outcome is whether Obama campaign manager David Axelrod is correct on the racial composition of the electorate being 72% White or whether is he fooling both himself and his acolytes in the media? President Obama regularly polls with national support among Whites as low as between 36 38%. If Axelrod is correct then Barack Obama has a good chance to eek out a close re-election. But if Axelrod is wrong on the electorate composition and Whites make up closer to 75% of voters then not only will Barack Obama lose this election, he could lose it badly with a final tally in the area of 338 to 200 electoral votes.
The entire Obama campaign is predicated on a voting public with a racial composition that in my opinion is highly unlikely to appear in 2012. The Obama campaign has revealed their assumption that White voters will only comprise 72% of the national voting public this year.
(Excerpt) Read more at battlegroundwatch.com ...
I think election night is gonna look a lot like 2010.
A good article.The discussions are great too.
I'm all for that. Lets do 2010 all over again.
While a 2010-style result would be good, I'd much rather see something more like the 1984 result. :=)
I always thought Baraq and Axlegrease were like a heavyweight champ and manager that never fought anybody with a winning record. All their wins were over chumps.
Exactly right! Romney and Ryan are not chumps, they will fight this hard all the way through the elections.
Don't be surprised. Obama has been a disaster in so many more ways than one.
So, At the base level, Axlerod is a racist
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