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The Undeparted (We Will Still be in Iraq After 2008 No Matter Who Is Elected)
New York Times Magazine ^ | 8 April 2007 | NOAH FELDMAN

Posted on 04/08/2007 7:09:47 AM PDT by shrinkermd

On the surface, recent votes in Congress appear to signal a new Democratic determination to withdraw from Iraq. But the reality is otherwise. It is not only that the resolutions were drafted and adopted with the certain knowledge that they would be vetoed. More important, even if a future Democratic president did try to implement the new plans, the results would likely end up looking oddly similar to the Bush administration’s current strategy. In politics as in war, things are seldom what they seem.

If there’s one thing that Iraqis and Americans agree on, it’s that U.S. troops don’t belong in Iraq — and yet even now, the troops are still there. Elected officials of all persuasions are supposed to respond to public opinion. So what explains this gap? One possibility is that politicians realize that raw public sentiment cannot be translated into practical policy without taking account of the likely consequences. It is not enough to give the public what it wants today if tomorrow — or whenever the next elections are held — the public will be even angrier about where things have gone in the meantime. With office comes responsibility — if only because politicians want to keep their jobs.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2008; iraq; wot
A recent poll commissioned by ABC News and partners has 78 percent of Iraqis opposing the U.S. presence and 51 percent approving of attacks on U.S. troops — but only 35 percent calling for immediate withdrawal. If supporting violence against the same soldiers you wish would stay is not confusion, then nothing is. Meanwhile, American public opinion has its own internal tensions. The war is extraordinarily unpopular, but leaving too fast is seen as undesirable as well — a CNN poll conducted last month shows that only 21 percent of Americans want all the troops home now. If the public is indeed in the grips of two separate and conflicting impulses, then the politicians may simply be giving them what they are asking for. This is politics under the motto of paralysis: Should I stay or should I go?

IMHO part of the "Iraq" problem is a "poll" problem. The polls all have an element of confirmation bias, and in addition, assume people are really interested and informed on this issue.

In the meantime, this is a crack in the NYT's antiwar armor.

1 posted on 04/08/2007 7:09:49 AM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

>>The Undeparted (We Will Still be in Iraq After 2008 No Matter Who Is Elected)<<

How odd that the New York Times would be so lacking in confidence that the new speaker will successfully undercut the troops.


2 posted on 04/08/2007 7:12:16 AM PDT by gondramB (It wasn't raining when Noah built the ark.)
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To: shrinkermd
Elected officials of all persuasions are supposed to respond to public opinion.

OK; I want a pony. Where's my pony?

3 posted on 04/08/2007 7:12:30 AM PDT by randog (What the...?!)
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To: shrinkermd

The fact is that the democrats are desperate for Bush to lose this war. I suspect they would feel quite different about a perception that they lost the war. Look at Bill Clinton’s “victory” in Kosovo.


4 posted on 04/08/2007 7:14:00 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Peace without victory is a temporary illusion.)
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To: shrinkermd
The dem proposal really is a stark left wing retreat. While calling for training Iraqi troops and fighting Al Queda, it requires that ALL troops withdraw by 2008.

So we don't leave anyone there to help the allies we are training; and we just stop fighting Al Queda and leave by a date certain.

And of course they don't want any base or presence in a nation we just fought and died for, and which otherwise would be our ally.

While we pull our troops out we also make nice to all our enemies and the enemies of our ally. They should replace the "yea" vote in Congress with teh sound of a cuckoo clock.

5 posted on 04/08/2007 7:20:14 AM PDT by Williams
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To: shrinkermd
Elected officials of all persuasions are supposed to respond to public opinion.

My old Government teacher from the dark ages would have smacked him upside the head for that line.

“Your government is not a vending machine!”

6 posted on 04/08/2007 7:22:51 AM PDT by Taichi (Certe, toto, sentio nos in kansate non iam adesse)
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To: shrinkermd

It’s not the war that the Democrats are worried about. It’s their pure hate for our President. You can hear it in their voices when they talk about him. You would think that he is running for President again. I think they profess their hate in every speech so they don’t have to answer questions about their own policys. They change the focus on what’s right and wrong about our country and try and get the people to focus on hating our President.


7 posted on 04/08/2007 7:31:12 AM PDT by RC2
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To: randog
Get together with a group of friends who also want ponies. Make sure you give off the appearance of being a disenfranchised group. Show how you've been discriminated against. Show how it's not fair that rich people can have ponies but you can't. Donate to some politicians. Let 'em know how many votes you control in their district.

You'll get your pony.

8 posted on 04/08/2007 7:33:07 AM PDT by Pan_Yan (All grey areas are fabrications.)
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To: Williams
a stark left wing retreat

Clinton didn't have much trouble with Somalia and look at how well that turned out.

9 posted on 04/08/2007 8:02:05 AM PDT by JimSEA
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To: All; shrinkermd; NormsRevenge

.

NEVER FORGET

.

It was a post-WATERGATE Democrat Congress that cut-off all U.S. Funding for the then Free South Vietnamese to fight for their own Freedom with, resulting in:

Pictures of a vietnamese Re-Education (SLAVE LABOR) Camp

http://www.Freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1308949/posts

..”JOURNEY from the FALL”.. MoviePremieres = Fall of Saigon CLARITY..

http://www.Freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1806248/posts

What Price to pay now, I wonder..?

12 Million suddenly missing Iraqi purple voting fingers..?

Bet on it.

.

NEVER FORGET

.


10 posted on 04/08/2007 8:15:46 AM PDT by ALOHA RONNIE ("ALOHA RONNIE" Guyer/Veteran-"WE WERE SOLDIERS" Battle of IA DRANG-1965 http://www.lzxray.com)
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To: shrinkermd

Friedman and Libby’s girlfriend Miller of the NYT did more to start this war than anyone...now they are positioning themselves to claim the vicctory...utter Leftist Filth.


11 posted on 04/08/2007 8:43:01 AM PDT by wildcatf4f3 (Hey, this aint like the 1960s, this is like the 1860s.)
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To: shrinkermd

Well, well, well. Someone at the Slimes has finally realized that if we pull out, that doesn’t mean the fighting ends, only that we will be pulled back in even if there is a Democrat president. And what is the Democrat position, to give Iraq to Iran? Even they would be forced to act at some level. That’s why I’m not blowing a gasket over Pelosi, Murtha and Reid yet - they have no plan that extends beyond one year. A year goes by mighty quick.


12 posted on 04/08/2007 5:32:12 PM PDT by FastCoyote
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To: shrinkermd

I always thought military strategy was supposed to be decided by military commanders, not public opinion polls. Was I wrong?


13 posted on 04/08/2007 5:56:58 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If the GOP were to stop worshiping Free Trade as if it were a religion, they'd win every election)
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To: Williams

@ shrinkermd:
You might consider READING the NYT piece, which clearly says exactly the opposite — that the Dems will have to maintain troop levels in bases or along the boarder.
Just a suggestion...

-Axl


14 posted on 04/16/2007 6:47:51 AM PDT by Artaraxl
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