Free Republic

Contrary to what many political pundits, including this one, thought would happen as soon as Donald Trump became the presumptive GOP nominee, the former president has maintained a slim but steady polling lead over President Joe Biden. As of today, the RCP Average has Trump with a 1.1% overall advantage, with Quinnipiac being the only May poll showing Biden leading, albeit by a mere 1%. By contrast, Biden enjoyed a 5.6% advantage this time in 2020, an election in which Trump never actually took the average polling lead.Still, are there signs that Trump's lead might be softer than we think?...

Both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are pouring resources into the battle to win Florida as polling continues to show a extremely tight race in the critical swing state. A new poll out Wednesday from Bloomberg gave a slight advantage to the GOP nominee, who leads 45 percent to Clinton's 43 percent in a four-way race with Libertarian Gary Johnson (4 percent) and Green Party nominee Jill Stein (2 percent). The Bloomberg poll was the best result in the Sunshine State for Trump in weeks; he has trailed his Democratic opponent in RealClearPolitics' average of polls there since before the...

Donald Trump has a 2 percentage point edge over Hillary Clinton in Florida, according to a new poll, as both presidential campaigns blanket the critical swing state in a full sprint to Election Day. A new Bloomberg Politics poll finds Trump ahead of Clinton, 45% to 43% -- well within the poll's 3.2% point margin of error -- in a four-way race among likely voters.... That's a significant shift from Florida polling earlier this month, showed Clinton in the lead. A Quinnipiac University survey ---- showed Clinton leading by 4 percentage points, 48% to 44%. Trump's edge is driven by...