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Jul 02, 202007:49 Model projects 91% chance Trump will get re-elected Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth says the battleground state polls in 2016 were 'way off' and that his model has correctly predicted 24 out of 26 of the past presidential elections.

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump erupted at his top political advisers last week when they presented him with worrisome polling data that showed his support eroding in a series of battleground states as his response to the coronavirus comes under criticism. As the virus takes its deadly toll and much of the nation’s economy remains shuttered, new surveys by the Republican National Committee and Trump’s campaign pointed to a harrowing picture for the president as he faces reelection. “I am not f—ing losing to Joe Biden,” he repeated in a series of heated conference calls with his top campaign officials,...

THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Florida voters don't have a clear favorite in the upcoming presidential election. If the election for president were being held today, former Vice President Joe Biden would get 46 percent of the vote, while Trump would get 42 percent. The candidates are holding their bases just about equally well, as Biden wins among Democrats 91 - 4 percent and Trump wins among Republicans 89 - 7 percent. The race is close among the key swing group, independents, with Biden getting 44 percent of the vote and Trump receiving 37 percent.

Just a compilation of video's.

The Leftist propaganda machine is running circles around itself trying to prove that Bevin’s Kentucky loss is the first sign of a Trump Train derailment. As usual, the machine could not be more wrong. First of all, it is important to understand that the movement behind Trump is not actually about Trump and never was. Rather, Trump is a figure and person to whom this ragtag band of Americans known alternatively as the grassroots or Tea Party movement has chosen to support because he represents our frustrations and ideals with the very clearly broken American Republic and way of life;...

The more concrete the testimony in the impeachment inquiry, the more solidly Republicans are sticking with President Donald Trump. Witness after witness in closed-door House hearings is corroborating the core facts that Democrats say make a strong case against the president. Trump pressured Ukraine, an American ally, for an investigation of Joe Biden, his family and the Democrats. At the same time, the Trump administration withheld military assistance for the young democracy as it confronted Russian aggression.

Following the House adopting a resolution confirming a formal impeachment inquiry into Donald Trump conspiring with the Ukrainian government to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden, a new CNN poll finds that U.S. citizens are split along partisan lines on if the inquiry should move forward. According to Friday’s poll, 49% of Americans indicated that Trump should be impeached and removed from office, while 47% indicated that he should not be impeached. Of that number, 82% of Democrats support removing Trump from office, while 13% are against it. Eighteen percent of Republicans back removing Trump, while 82% oppose it. Independents...

YOUNGSTOWN, Ohio -- With about a year to go before the U.S. presidential election, Roy Mikolaj, a 53-year-old resident of the U.S. Midwest state of Ohio, already knows who will have his support in 2020 -- Donald Trump. Mikolaj is a registered Democrat. But in the previous election in 2016, he was one of the workers in the declining industrial area known as the "Rust Belt" who voted for Trump, a trend that propelled the Republican nominee to the White House after he campaigned to bring jobs back from U.S. trade partners such as China, Japan and Mexico. Following Trump's...

By a plurality of 48 to 44%, according to the latest poll averages, Americans favor impeaching President Trump and removing him from office. But, as we know, presidential elections are made in the electoral college on a state-by-state basis and senators are elected in this manner as well, which is why it is important to look at public opinion by state. According to a just-released New York Times/Siena College poll, sentiment in the swing states that will determine the winner of the 2020 presidential election differs from the national averages. Like other Americans, voters in these states support an impeachment...

How important is it for a politician to tell the truth about his or her personal history? It’s a question Americans face daily, especially since the establishment news media seems solely preoccupied with overturning every stone or pebble in a presidential candidate’s individual background, endlessly snooping for the one scandalous tidbit of dirt (information) that could sway hypothetical voter x’s decision come next spring (the party primaries) or thirteen months from now in the national election. “Character counts” is the gossipers’ mantra, but only appears salient where conservatives or Republicans are at issue. Former Arkansas governor and budding president of...

Irish American Joe Biden is speaking the truth he would beat Trump, impeachment or not, and the polls agree. I’m getting very tired of the liberal media knocking back Joe Biden at every opportunity and promoting loony left Elizabeth Warren. She wins every debate they claim, she has a plan for everything (so did Hillary Clinton), she is Harvard so she would be unbeatable. As a member of the writing class, I can tell you the media retains a veneer of impartiality but they love to play king and queen makers. Despite their best efforts, however, Irish American Biden is...

WASHINGTON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - A strong U.S. economy could help President Donald Trump win re-election next year unless there is a surge in voter turnout, economic research firm Moody’s Analytics said on Tuesday. Across American universities and on Wall Street, researchers are honing computer models designed to predict the winner in the November 2020 election in which the Republican Trump will face a Democratic candidate still to be determined. What makes Moody’s Analytics stand out is its focus on local economic conditions, which have drawn attention this year as a U.S.-China trade war has hit America’s industrial heartland even...

A new survey from a left-leaning polling outlet finds President Trump running even with the top contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination in Ohio, which the president carried by 8 points in 2016. The latest Public Policy Polling survey, conducted on behalf of the progressive group Innovation Ohio, found former Vice President Joe Biden edging Trump 48 percent to 46 percent in Ohio, which is within the survey’s margin of error. Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) are tied with Trump at 47 percent each. The survey found Trump trailing a generic Democratic presidential candidate 48 percent to...

'FIRING LINE' WITH MARGARET HOOVER: Governor Larry Hogan (R-MD) joins Firing Line to discuss the Trump impeachment inquiry. Hogan addresses reports that he was considering a primary run against the President, discusses the state of the Republican party, and talks about his record as a Republican governor leading a blue state. (snip) Hogan on Trump alienating groups of people: "We're getting to the people where we're losing suburban women, we're losing all minorities. We're alienating every group we possibly can and we're down to a smaller, shrinking base. Now the president seems to be doubling down on that, that kind...

Many of you dismissed my call for a Hillary Clinton versus Donald Trump rematch as lunacy. “Call me crazy,” I wrote. Some of the more polite responses did. But it definitely caught the attention of Donald Trump. How else to explain his out-of-right-field tweet Tuesday after yours truly wrote that Clinton would make a far stronger 2020 opponent than any of the Democrats now running? “I think that Crooked Hillary Clinton should enter the race to try and steal it away from Uber Left Elizabeth Warren,” the president tweeted. “Only one condition. The Crooked one must explain all of her...

Since 2007, there have been three whole Spider-Man franchises. First Tobey Maguire, then Andrew Garfield, and now Tom Holland. In one fewer year, we’ve had three different iterations of the Joker. Hollywood is stuck in an endless cycle of remakes and reboots, and since politics is downstream from culture, it makes sense that instead of doing something unique, new, and weird in 2020 (perhaps a true progressive running on a leftist platform), we’re just gonna go back to the old hits that make us comfortable, tweaked around the edges to give them the veneer of something fresh. It’s why Joe...

At a meeting of White House senior staff last week, acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney made a bold prediction: If the House impeaches Donald Trump, he will win 45 states in his 2020 reelection race. Which is some kind of prediction! But could it, you know, actually happen? Well, start here: In 2016, Trump won 30 states as well as Maine’s second congressional district. (Maine apportions some of its electoral votes by House seat.) Meaning he needed to get 14 or 15 more in order to make Mulvaney look like a genius. That’s going to be VERY...

No matter where you turn, the news is filled with embarrassing stuff about President Trump. The CIA whistleblower complaint about his conduct on a call with Ukraine’s president has turned into a full-court impeachment scandal. But through all of this, Trump’s approval rating is at its highest level of the year according to the Hill-HarrisX survey, and the other major polls taken since this Ukraine phone call whistleblower story emerged show few changes from the last surveys taken before the news broke. How is this possible? Anyone still asking that question simply hasn’t come to terms with why Donald Trump...

There's a lot of statistical noise out there, so I wouldn't get too swept up in any individual poll -- especially as many Americans are still trying to figure out what to make of the Ukraine situation, and impeachment more broadly. Virtually every major pollster has measured a clear uptick in support for at least launching an impeachment inquiry, though other surveys have asked different variations of impeachment-related questions (unsurprisingly, there's more popular support for beginning an inquiry than for removing the president from office). A brand new batch of numbers from The Hill's pollster shows Trump's overall approval rating...