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Posts by tomd2

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  • Something Has Snapped: Unexplained 2.3 Million Jobs Gap Emerges In Broken Payrolls Report

    11/05/2022 7:15:22 AM PDT · 10 of 20
    tomd2 to tomd2
    Zerohedge source of article explains at the end that reason the BLS numbers are BS is because they have replaced full time with benefits with part time no benies.

    Something Has Snapped: Unexplained 2.3 Million Jobs Gap Emerges In Broken Payrolls Report

    In fact, as shown below, since March, the US has lost 490K full-time employees offset by an almost identical gain of 492K part-time employees, while 126K workers were forced to get more than one job over the same period.,/p>

    Finally, the cherry on top: the number of Unemployed workers - also tracked by the Household Survey - jumped by 306K, rising to 6.059 million, the highest since February!

    So what's going on here? The simple answer: there has been no change in the number of people actually employed, but due to deterioration in the economy, more people are losing their higher-paying, full-time jobs, and switching into much lower- paying, benefits-free part-time jobs, which also forces many to work more than one job, a rotation which picked up in earnest some time in March and which has only been captured by the Household survey. Meanwhile the Establishment survey plows on ahead with its politically-motivated approximations, seasonal adjustments, and other labor market goalseeking meant to make the Biden admin look good at least until after the midterms .

    And since the Establishment survey is far slower to pick up on the nuances in employment composition, while the Household Survey has gone nowhere since March, the BLS data engineers have been busy goalseeking the Establishment Survey (with the occasional nudge from the White House especially with midterms looming) to make it appear as if the economy is growing strongly, when in reality all they are doing is applying the same erroneous seasonal adjustment factor that gave such a wrong perspective of the labor market in the aftermath of the covid pandemic (until it was all adjusted away a year ago). In other words, while the labor market is already cracking, it will take the BLS several months of veering away from reality before the government bureaucrats accept and admit what is truly taking place.

    As we said back in August, "We expect that "realization" to take place just after the midterms, because the last thing the Biden administration can afford is admit the labor market is crashing in addition to the continued surge in inflation." We still hold on to this prediction: expect big negative payroll prints as soon as December.

  • Something Has Snapped: Unexplained 2.3 Million Jobs Gap Emerges In Broken Payrolls Report

    11/05/2022 6:18:22 AM PDT · 4 of 20
    tomd2 to Roman_War_Criminal
    the Government is cooking the books.
  • Yields rise to decade highs, curve inverts on growth fears

    06/13/2022 2:28:00 PM PDT · 4 of 25
    tomd2 to Mariner

    agreed. this inflation spiral will run until they get another Volcker. The interest on the debt will exceed the defense budget & may compete with SS.

  • Goldman Sachs expects oil prices to surge to nearly $140 a barrel this summer — but it will feel like $160 (Summer Gas price to Increase by 33%?)

    06/07/2022 1:17:00 PM PDT · 46 of 46
    tomd2 to Mount Athos

    OBiden will mandate gasoline be sold by Liter to conform with international standard. $3/ltr price propaganda media will claim OBiden cut the price at the pump. LOL

  • Gas Prices Hit $4 A Gallon In Every State For First Time

    05/17/2022 1:08:57 PM PDT · 14 of 56
    tomd2 to blam
  • Reports: Secret Recording Says Putin Seriously Ill With Blood Cancer, 'Coup' Underway

    05/14/2022 4:00:36 PM PDT · 1 of 25
    tomd2
    this rumor seems to crop up every 3-4 months
  • Heilemann: ‘Democrats Have Been in Denial’ on Inflation and Are on Course ‘to Get Crushed’ in Midterms

    03/26/2022 10:08:02 AM PDT · 28 of 32
    tomd2 to ChicagoConservative27

    Obama lost 63 House seats in 2010, the repuks had 20 less seats than they do now.
    248 seats were the most seats repuks ever had.

    will they break these numbers in November 2022?
    when I see articles like below, repuks deserve what they get

    House GOP win likely, but cool the 60-seat hype

    Hopes of House Republicans for a blockbuster victory in the fall congressional midterm elections are being scaled back, tempered by the reality there just aren’t a lot of easy seats to pick up and new hurdles are being thrown at them every week.

    “It’s good that they temper their expectations,” said pollster John McLaughlin, who still predicts a GOP win big enough to give the party control of the House and to oust Rep. Nancy Pelosi as speaker.

    While former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and some overly optimistic pollsters have suggested a modern record pickup of over 60 seats, to give the GOP a huge lead, party insiders see a range of 10-35 additional seats.

    The University of Virginia’s Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman are predicting a GOP gain of 25-35 seats.

    “We thought, and still think, that what would constitute a mega-GOP wave would be a net gain of 35, or the biggest GOP House majority since 1928,” Kondik said.

    Then, the GOP held 248 seats.

    Rep. Tom Emmer, the head of the National Republican Congressional Committee is known to predict just enough in his level-headed approach to the election, which in this case is five.

    Driving the predictions have been President Joe Biden’s miserable approval ratings, high inflation and gas prices, a disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, a border crisis, and the threat of world war.

    Then, there were signs of voter dissatisfaction in elections after Biden’s inauguration, such as the surprise win by Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin last November. That sparked a review of House districts and a new rush into the Biden areas that Youngkin won, such as the commonwealth’s 7th Congressional District.

    Virginia Republican state Sen. Bryce Reeves said Biden’s unpopularity and policy failures opened the door to returning the district to the GOP. Biden’s bungled Afghan withdrawal prompted him to get into a crowded GOP primary race.

    “I almost threw up,” he said of the deaths blamed on Biden’s missteps.

    On the campaign trail, Reeves said he’s getting encouragement from Biden’s base of voters, including blacks and suburban mothers worried about inflation, their safety, and even the president’s competence.

    “I hear from Democratic moms all the time,” he said. And they tell him they “fear that this president is an idiot.”

    One of his supporters, Culpeper County Sheriff Scott Jenkins, told us, “The current leadership in Washington has failed America and Americans in ways that cannot be overstated. Our children’s children and beyond will pay the price for this administration’s disastrous choices. As we have seen in Virginia, electing strong Republicans who listen to the voters will help correct the destruction wrought by out-of-touch Democrats.”

    Despite national anger with the White House, expectations for a blowout are being lowered because Republicans already did well in 2020, leaving just seven seats in districts Trump won but are held by Democrats.

    Plus, they are not winning the redistricting battles in key states such as New York and are hosting primary fights between pro-Trump and anti-Trump forces in others.

    Then, there is the issue of telling voters what they stand for. While that should be easy for a party that has historically opposed taxes and big spending, some appear to be going along with Biden’s massive spending plans, muddling the GOP’s positions.

    “If you look at what’s going on,” said pollster McLaughlin, of high prices, “the cause is debt and inflation. And if the Republicans keep going along with raising the debt ceiling and allowing Democrats to spend, then they are going to lose the argument that they have on inflation and gas prices.”

    His advice to the party was to keep on hitting kitchen table issues that mothers, such as those Reeves has been talking to, care about.

    “After the State of the Union, people asked me, ‘Do you think Biden’s approval numbers will go up?’ I said, ‘Yeah, until people have to buy gas,’” he said.
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/washington-secrets/whoa-house-gop-win-likely-but-cool-the-60-seat-hype

  • A 60% Dud Rate for Precision-Guided Munitions Explains a Lot of Russia's Problems in Ukraine

    03/25/2022 9:27:27 AM PDT · 35 of 40
    tomd2 to Chad_the_Impaler

    so true

  • A 60% Dud Rate for Precision-Guided Munitions Explains a Lot of Russia's Problems in Ukraine

  • A 60% Dud Rate for Precision-Guided Munitions Explains a Lot of Russia's Problems in Ukraine

    03/25/2022 7:18:47 AM PDT · 1 of 40
    tomd2
    Where are our Intelligence Agencies CIA/DIA with their reports about the failure of Russian equipment/munitions/capabilities before Putin's invasion? Twitter is their sources.
  • The Russian Army can not go very far on flat tires

    03/21/2022 3:43:08 PM PDT · 25 of 53
    tomd2 to MercyFlush

    Agreed

  • The Russian Army can not go very far on flat tires

    03/21/2022 2:59:23 PM PDT · 1 of 53
    tomd2
    Why did our so called Intelligence Community NOT know/predict this lack of capability of the Russian Army. My thought is our spy agencies are too busy spying on American deplorables.
  • Greenwald: The Same Neocons That Pushed Iraq War Are Now Doing It On Behalf Of Democrats And They Are Being Cheered

    03/18/2022 5:20:43 AM PDT · 48 of 68
    tomd2 to Alberta's Child

    Agreed

  • Greenwald: The Same Neocons That Pushed Iraq War Are Now Doing It On Behalf Of Democrats And They Are Being Cheered

    03/18/2022 4:23:42 AM PDT · 36 of 68
    tomd2 to Az Joe

    Why does anyone listen/believe what the Intelligence(?) Community claims.

    My question is why is no one challenging the IC for not knowing how badly the Russian Army would perform in this action and why did the IC not know the problem with tires/fuel, poor training of conscripts and general bad management by Russian commanders. Why are we paying Billions for inaccurate information. Isn’t this what they are supposed to provide; accurate assessment of our adversaries capabilities.

    I am reminded of the warning Ike gave about the Military-Industrial Complex, who see boogie men everywhere.

  • Nancy Pelosi’s recent statement shows a complete lack of logic

    03/11/2017 3:22:28 PM PST · 27 of 38
    tomd2 to grundle

    Botoxed brain

  • Why doesn't Trump call for investigations into Obama and Hillary? (Vanity)

    03/03/2017 5:21:29 PM PST · 55 of 62
    tomd2 to tomd2
    Did NSA Admiral Mike Rogers Warn Trump On November 17th, 2016?

    NSA Director Admiral Mike Rogers didn’t want to participate in the spying scheme (Clapper, Brennan, Etc.), which was the baseline for President Obama’s post presidency efforts to undermine Donald Trump and keep Trump from digging into the Obama labyrinth underlying his remaining loyalists. After the October spying operation went into effect, Rogers unknown loyalty was a risk to the Obama objective. 10 Days after the election Rogers travels to President-Elect Trump without notifying those who were involved in the intel scheme.

    Did NSA Director Mike Rogers wait for a SCIF (Sensitive Compartmented Information Facility) to be set up in Trump Tower, and then notify the President-elect he was being monitored by President Obama?

  • Why doesn't Trump call for investigations into Obama and Hillary? (Vanity)

    03/03/2017 4:27:18 PM PST · 47 of 62
    tomd2 to tomd2
    Mark Levin: Was Obama Using NSA Against Trump During 2016 Campaign?

    Drawing on sources including the New York Times and the Washington Post, Levin described the case against Obama so far, based on what is already publicly known. The following is an expanded version of that case, including events that Levin did not mention specifically but are important to the overall timeline.

    1. June 2016: FISA request. The Obama administration files a request with the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISA) to monitor communications involving Donald Trump and several advisers. The request, uncharacteristically, is denied.

    2. July: Russia joke. Wikileaks releases emails from the Democratic National Committee that show an effort to prevent Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) from winning the presidential nomination. In a press conference, Donald Trump refers to Hillary Clinton’s own missing emails, joking: “Russia, if you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 e-mails that are missing.” That remark becomes the basis for accusations by Clinton and the media that Trump invited further hacking.

    3. October: Podesta emails. In October, Wikileaks releases the emails of Clinton campaign chair John Podesta, rolling out batches every day until the election, creating new mini-scandals. The Clinton campaign blames Trump and the Russians.

    4. October: FISA request. The Obama administration submits a new, narrow request to the FISA court, now focused on a computer server in Trump Tower suspected of links to Russian banks. No evidence is found — but the wiretaps continue, ostensibly for national security reasons, Andrew McCarthy at National Review later notes. The Obama administration is now monitoring an opposing presidential campaign using the high-tech surveillance powers of the federal intelligence services.

    5. January 2017: Buzzfeed/CNN dossier. Buzzfeed releases, and CNN reports, a supposed intelligence “dossier” compiled by a foreign former spy. It purports to show continuous contact between Russia and the Trump campaign, and says that the Russians have compromising information about Trump. None of the allegations can be verified and some are proven false. Several media outlets claim that they had been aware of the dossier for months and that it had been circulating in Washington.

    6. January: Obama expands NSA sharing. As Michael Walsh later notes, and as the New York Times reports, the outgoing Obama administration “expanded the power of the National Security Agency to share globally intercepted personal communications with the government’s 16 other intelligence agencies before applying privacy protections.” The new powers, and reduced protections, could make it easier for intelligence on private citizens to be circulated improperly or leaked.

    7. January: Times report. The New York Times reports, on the eve of Inauguration Day, that several agencies — the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the National Security Agency (NSA) and the Treasury Department are monitoring several associates of the Trump campaign suspected of Russian ties. Other news outlets also report the exisentence of “a multiagency working group to coordinate investigations across the government,” though it is unclear how they found out, since the investigations would have been secret and involved classified information.

    8. February: Mike Flynn scandal. Reports emerge that the FBI intercepted a conversation in 2016 between future National Security Adviser Michael Flynn — then a private citizen — and Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak. The intercept supposedly was  part of routine spying on the ambassador, not monitoring of the Trump campaign. The FBI transcripts reportedly show the two discussing Obama’s newly-imposed sanctions on Russia, though Flynn earlier denied discussing them. Sally Yates, whom Trump would later fire as acting Attorney General for insubordination, is involved in the investigation. In the end, Flynn resigns over having misled Vice President Mike Pence (perhaps inadvertently) about the content of the conversation.

    9. February: Times claims extensive Russian contacts. The New York Times cites “four current and former American officials” in reporting that the Trump campaign had “repeated contacts with senior Russian intelligence officials. The Trump campaign denies the claims — and the Times admits that there is “no evidence” of coordination between the campaign and the Russians. The White House and some congressional Republicans begin to raise questions about illegal intelligence leaks.

    10. March: the Washington Post targets Jeff Sessions. The Washington Postreports that Attorney General Jeff Sessions had contact twice with the Russian ambassador during the campaign — once at a Heritage Foundation event and once at a meeting in Sessions’s Senate office. The Post suggests that the two meetings contradict Sessions’s testimony at his confirmation hearings that he had no contacts with the Russians, though in context (not presented by the Post) it was clear he meant in his capacity as a campaign surrogate, and that he was responding to claims in the “dossier” of ongoing contacts. The New York Times, in covering the story, adds that the Obama White House “rushed to preserve” intelligence related to alleged Russian links with the Trump campaign. By “preserve” it really means “disseminate”: officials spread evidence throughout other government agencies “to leave a clear trail of intelligence for government investigators” and perhaps the media as well.

    In summary: the Obama administration sought, and eventually obtained, authorization to eavesdrop on the Trump campaign; continued monitoring the Trump team even when no evidence of wrongdoing was found; then relaxed the NSA rules to allow evidence to be shared widely within the government, virtually ensuring that the information, including the conversations of private citizens, would be leaked to the media.

  • Why doesn't Trump call for investigations into Obama and Hillary? (Vanity)

    03/03/2017 3:59:03 PM PST · 39 of 62
    tomd2 to dpetty121263

    Trump should demand to know why Obama’s DOJ made two requests of the FISA (secret) Court for wiretaps on phones in Trump tower during the campaign and what were the results of those wiretaps.

  • Perino & Stirewalt new show [what a bomb]

    09/18/2016 3:11:08 PM PDT · 26 of 107
    tomd2 to Fhios
    agree 100% I wanted to stick Slim Jim’s in my ears it was so stOOOpid. Dana ain't a rocket scientist. Nice on the eyes but my gosh nothing between the ears, Stirerwalt and C Hurt ok & informative. AB Stoddard is showing her true #NeverTrump colors (her husband was a hugh Romney supporter) and the dem from Kerry's campaign. even ChrisS had to yell WAIT 10x to shut him up.
    I turned to local NYC news to listen to the bombing coverage.
    Totally un-watchable. it wont last to the election if they keep this up
  • Report: Major Federal Investigation into Clinton Foundation Underway

    08/15/2016 10:42:46 AM PDT · 61 of 66
    tomd2 to antidisestablishment

    thank you for headsup. You are so correct. consider the source.
    Brent J. Budowsky (born February 19, 1952)[1] is a liberal / progressive[2] American political opinion writer and blogger for publications including The Hill,[3] the LA Progressive,[4] and The Huffington Post.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brent_Budowsky