Free Republic

Unless something very surprising happens, this is going to be 15+ point D victory. Ds were asleep at the switch in 2021 and still won. Harris put no resources into NJ last year and alienated Catholics and Jews in one of the least Protestant states in the country ... and still won. Ds will focus hard on this race, particularly if VA looks to be in the bag, and the GOTV will be massive.

A big margin is built into these limits in terms of one-time limits - the 789 certainly could have landed safely, and if it was a fuel or other emergency would have.

The weight and roll limits are designed to make sure that the runway’s maintenance schedule and budget are appropriate and reliable for safety. A little bit more weight and roll even modestly over design limits can make those schedules accelerate or even be unreliable. A lot more weight and roll and then you’re going to have to have a very expensive supplemental inspection and maybe even some one-off repairs.

In my neck of the woods they have got a lot of locations very close to one another, and that’s not even counting the Target pharmacies they operate. Grocery delivery and same-day/next-day Amazon can’t be good for the front of the house, and there appears to be real inventory and staffing issues on the prescription pharma side — consolidating four pharmacies into two might let them run until late on weekdays and open the pharmacy on Sunday, and not end up giving you the run-around to other locations as often as they now do.

Dems taking over is a near-certainty. Jefferies would be pretty dumb not to say so.

Republicans have a three seat majority now.

That margin is gone before the first vote is cast thanks to judicially-commanded mid-cycle redistricting. One seat in Florida, one seat in Georgia, one seat in Wisconsin. If the Democrats run the table they could get up to SEVEN seats that way — another seat in Wisconsin, a seat in Utah, a seat in Louisiana, and a seat in Ohio.

The average swing to the non-White House party is over 20 seats, and in only two elections in the last 100+ years (1998 and 2002) was the swing the other way, or not enough to make the difference. The unique circumstances that prevailed in 1998 — Gingrich’s intense unpopularity and Clinton’s popularity, and in 2002 — Bush’s popularity and a very successful reapportionment and redistricting — will not be in play.

Congressional Republican fundraising, candidate recruiting and campaign support isn’t getting any less incompetent.

Democrats have won or heavily outperformed in every consequential special election this year. Dems are going to win the two governor races this year fairly easily, flipping Virginia and holding New Jersey.

I had it ten years ago or so. Literally one of the best things ever to happen to me! I was just old enough when it was done that the correction left me preferring (but not strictly needing) reading glasses up close. Ten years later I definitely need the reading glasses up close unless I make text on my phone BIG, and in the last year I benefit from reading glasses while working on the computer.

I don’t know anyone who had LASIK or other vision correction surgeries in the past 15 years who has ANY complaints and most remain ecstatic about it. People were in the first generation of patients, 20 years or so ago, tend to have issues with floaters and get halos from oncoming traffic and street lights when driving at night — but even then I cant’ think of one person who wishes he hadn’t had it.

Interestingly, people are now talking about Ozempic/Mounjaro/Wegovy/Zepbound the same way they’ve been talking about LASIK for ages — a silver bullet change for the better from science.

There was a decent amount of AIPAC money available for a Ritchie Torres-style primary challenger last year, but no takers. The offer is out again this year with a bigger price tag given the success in 2024.

Correct! Carbs cause systemic fat (in all its forms including cholesterol). Carbs also cause high blood sugar. Dietary fat’s contribution to systemic fat is very limited. Cutting carbs and (to a lesser extent) sodium are the trick.

Economy seats in narrow-body mainline planes, which operate the vast majority of domestic seat-miles in the US, have been the same width for over 60 years now, since the Boeing 727 commenced commercial service. Leg room has definitely declined, though.

Francis appointed a lot of good cardinals from the third world along with some truly horrid picks from Europe and North America. The hope is the former plus Benedict’s remaining Cardinals in their 70s will outvote the latter.

This is a manageable disease, thank God.

Diagnosed at 12.0 A1c at 260 pounds at 54 years old. Was put on metformin, glipizide and mounjaro, and told to cut carbs to as low as I could handle. Was given two weeks to show progress on CGM or I would be started on insulin.

Within two weeks the low carb and drugs had me averaging under 110 on the meter, so insulin avoided.

Next six months, dropped 75 pounds and A1c to 4.8.

Am off all drugs except maintenance dose of mounjaro, holding carbs still about 75 grams a day or less. Most days my meter never goes over 100.

Feds out of PK-12 and undergraduate education. Preferably ENTIRELY OUT, but if Congress just can’t there ... participate solely by way of refundable tax credits for tuition outlays by citizens only.

Feds out of recreational drug enforcement. States that want to outlaw one or more recreational drugs free to do so at their own expense.

Civilian agency federal employment in DC should not be more than 50% over national average for large DMAs. Permanently move Transportation to Atlanta, Treasury/SEC/CFTC/Federal Reserve to New York, FCC to Seattle, Interior to Salt Lake City, Agriculture to Omaha, Justice to Nashville, Commerce to Dallas, Labor to Detroit, HHS to Miami, HUD to Chicago, Energy to Houston, Veterans Affairs to Jacksonville, EPA to Los Angeles, etc.

This is a very poorly-written article.

Dark matter is the hypothetical gravitationally interacting mass that permits galaxies to spin much faster than their baryonic (non-dark) mass would seem to permit. JWST seeing brighter and more complex galaxies in the early eons of the observable universe doesn’t refute the hypothesis.

Dark matter is not the hypothetical explanation for the observed expansion of the universe - that’s dark energy.

On the one hand, Trump is displaying a better-than-expected willingness not to nominate Swamp things to high offices.

On the other hand, this is yet another nomination that the Senate will definitely reject if the candidate doesn’t drop out. Not sure how this makes Trump stronger.

I certainly think it’s possible.

Trump attracted disaffected voters who didn’t care about the down ballot.

Trump attracted Latino men who didn’t care for Harris but easily could have split and voted for one of their own for Senate.

Lake had two cycles of incredibly negative MSM and paid media against her and she didn’t have Trump’s Teflon.

She ran behind him in the polls consistently.

Weird story.

There are some cancers - like her early-stage non-metastasized breast cancer - where one can make a reasonable gamble to forgo radiation or chemo after a surgery with good margins. The stress and aging that those therapies put on your body are one of the reasons, and if your stock in trade is being youthful and beautiful, maybe all the more reason to do so.

There are some cancers - like highly metastasized anything, or pancreatic cancer, or inoperable brain tumors - where the radiation and chemo impose a lot of pain for a very low level of benefit. Foregoing them to enjoy the few intact months you have left and then float on home on morphine in hospice is not a bad decision. Frankly this decision is more driven by how well your spouse and kids can cope with the inevitable. I’ve had several friends with totally hopeless cancer diagnoses put themselves through hell because their family couldn’t cope with them “giving up.”

But in between, come on. Survival rates with contemporary therapies for many cancers are an order of magnitude better than where they were. Shave your head, toke you medical MJ, buy yourself a $5,000 tailored suit to enjoy your new chemo-trim body, and live to see your grandkids graduate.

Kagan is plenty smart. Jackson-Brown and Sotomayor would be passable suburban divorce lawyers without affirmative action, but they’re solid 105s.

I’m more pessimistic, so a win in Wisconsin or Michigan would surprise me. Nevada would really surprise me.

However, of the states that are by consensus blue, I think that if today is really good he’ll pick up at least one of Virginia, New Hampshire, Maine or Minnesota. Nice part of carrying Minnesota is that Trump will certainly carry one or both houses of the legislature with him and the advance of the DFL reign of terror will be halted. Walz will still have two more years of terrible laws and regulations to enforce, alas.

It won’t produce any EVs, but the real shocker is going to be how much better Trump does in blue states. The popular vote is going to be much closer, maybe even a win for Trump.

It’s pretty amazing the way the New York Times Co. manages to be at once the absolute best and absolute worst it can be, isn’t it?

276 for Harris and the win, 262 for Trump. Trump flips Georgia and Arizona but Harris holds Pennsylvania, Ohio and Wisconsin with massive black turnout in Philly, Detroit, Pittsburgh and Milwaukee. Trump WINS the popular vote though ... thanks to low enthusiasm in California, stupidly large margins in the bright red states, and making things a lot closer (but still not really competitive) in New York, New Jersey, etc.

So much this.

The left wasn’t the enemy during the first Trump administration. Everything he failed to do was entirely on him, his advisors, and recalcitrant GOPe members of Congress.

Crossing my fingers that things will be better. Having Vance instead of Pence is good, more serious conservatives in Congress is good, and I think that that there’s five solid votes on Supreme Court for most things we will need, which was not the case in 2017 to 2020.