Early polls say Harris won the presidential debate
But it’s unclear how much, or whether, it will shift the race.
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ABC/538 ^
| 09/11/2024 | Nathaniel Rakich
*** As of 1 p.m. Eastern, 538 has collected three national polls and one swing-state poll that were conducted since the debate.* In
all of them, more people who watched the debate said Harris won the debate than said Trump did. On average, 57 percent of debate watchers nationally said Harris turned in the better performance; only 34 percent said Trump did. *** That's all obviously good news for Harris — but there are a few caveats here. First of all, it's still quite early. Only a few polls have been conducted since the debate, and we'll have more data...
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Election Home Stretch -- What do the Polls Say?
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American Thinker ^
| 09/09/2024 | Brian C. Joondeph
The presidential election is heating up as both nominating conventions have concluded. As
we approach the home stretch of the election season, it's important to take a closer look at the opinion polls. Where are the opinion polls now and what if anything can be inferred? It's essential to remember that polls are a snapshot in time. They survey a small group of individuals and then extrapolate those results to the entire population, in this case, actual voters. The surveyed sample is crucial, as oversampling Republicans, Democrats, or Independents can skew the results. While statistical weighting can help even out...
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VIDEO: Politico Suddenly Changes Upbeat Tune to 'Sobering New Polls for Harris'
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Rumble ^
| September 8, 2024 | P.J. Gladnick
Gone is the sugar high over Kamala Harris based on less than accurate polls which peaked following the Democrat Convention only to replaced by Politico gloom due to the first "high-quality" survey since Joe Biden was dumped by the Democrats. The grieving Politico team of Ryan Lizza, Rachael Bade, and Eugene Daniels
sounded their sad notes of reality check despair in the Sunday Playbook, "Sobering new polls for Harris."
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CNN Data Guru Brings Sad News for Kamala: If Trump Outperforms Polls by a Mere 1 Point—It's Game Over
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Red State ^
| 6 September 2024 | Bob Hoge
CNN’s enthusiastic Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten said Friday that the presidential contest is historically tight and that the slightest shift in momentum could alter the outcome. Moreover,
he added, if Donald Trump outperforms current polling by a mere point—which is certainly possible, if not likely, given recent presidential elections—he’ll be strolling into the Oval Office in January 2025.
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Key state polls: Another mess in the making?
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Washington Examiner ^
| September 5, 2024 | Byron York
KEY STATE POLLS: ANOTHER MESS IN THE MAKING? Who is leading the presidential race in the seven states considered most critical to victory in 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada? The answer is we don’t really know. If
you look at the RealClearPolitics average of state polls, you’ll see that Pennsylvania is exactly tied between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump .... Obviously, all those numbers are within the polls’ margins of error. So anyone who cites them is advised to be cautious. But even more caution is called for when you look...
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The "Limbaugh Theorem"... explains why Kama-Lama-Ding-Dong leads in the many (bogus) polls, as 0bummer did in 2008 & 2012.
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Me | 9.06.2024 | Rush Limbaugh
Have you ever wondered why the lowlife, Marxist, socialist scumbag Obama -- aka ∅bummer-Boy -- did so well for 2 terms? And
why is the lowlife scumbag, socialist, Marxist Kama-Lama-Ding-Dong is doing to well in the polls? So did I, but after doing some "Rush Research", I found out ***why***: The Limbaugh Theorem (great article at that link). She is, as Obama did, running against herself, and her admin's policies, and it's not real... The Limbaugh Theorem:
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CNN Polls: Trump Clobbers Harris in Every Swing State on the Economy
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www.breitbart.com ^
| 4 Sep 2024 | Wendell Husebø
The poll is significant because the economy is the “most important issue” to voters, as they weigh casting their ballot, the polling found. The
economy outranked other issues as most important by 20 to 30 points across all major swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
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CNN Polls: Republican Senate Candidates Pull Even with Top of Ticket
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Breitbart ^
| 09/04/2024 | Nick Gilbertson
Trump-backed Republican Senate candidates in key battleground states are closing in on their Democrat opponents, with most margins reflecting those of the presidential race in CNN/SSRS polls of likely voters. The
trend among likely voters suggests that the switch from President Joe Biden to Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democrat presidential nominee will not be as beneficial to down-ballot Senate candidates as Democrats had hoped, as Harris’s honeymoon phase has ended with the election two months away. For instance, in Pennsylvania’s Senate race, Republican businessman Dave McCormick is tied with Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) at 46 percent. Another four...
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CNN Polls: Trump Clobbers Harris in Every Swing State on the Economy
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Breitbart ^
| 09/04/2024 | Wendell Husebø
Former President Donald Trump dominates Vice President Kamala Harris in every major swing state on the question of who voters trust to handle the economy, CNN polling found Wednesday. The poll is significant because the economy is the “most important issue” to voters, as they weigh casting their ballot, the polling found.
The economy outranked other issues as most important by 20 to 30 points across all major swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. CLAIM: Joe Biden said the American economy was in terrible shape when he took office. VERDICT: False. In Q3 2020, the economy...
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Latest swing state polls suggest Trump could score decisive victory against Kamala Harris
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https://nypost.com ^
| 9/3/2024 | A.G. Gancarski
Fresh surveys from seven battleground states show a scenario in which Donald Trump could win in November with a decisive 296 electoral votes. Trafalgar,
which polled between Aug. 28 and 30, sees Trump sweeping 44 electoral votes from the pivotal Blue Wall states in November, eking out narrow wins in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin inside the polls’ margins of error. Insider Advantage handled polling in four other battlegrounds between Aug. 29 and 31, with Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina going to Trump.
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MSNBC host rages after seeing polls showing Trump leading, calls Electoral College a ‘suicide pact’
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FoxNews ^
| 08.31.24
Chris Hayes called the Electoral College “a wildly dangerous institution that undermines democracy' MSNBC host Chris Hayes fumed over new poll results showing former President Trump as the favorite to win the Electoral College and therefore the presidency in November. On his X account Friday, the "All in With Chris Hayes" anchor
blasted recent poll results from famed pollster Nate Silver showing that Harris would most likely beat Trump in the national popular vote if the election were held today, though Trump would win the Electoral College. "It’s clear as day the Electoral College is, to quote the great Justice...
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Kamala Harris Trails Donald Trump in 5 New Battleground Polls
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Newsweek ^
| 9.1.2024 | Ewan Palmer
Vice President Kamala Harris is behind Donald Trump in five key swing states polls, with the pair tied in a further two, according to recent surveys. Surveys
by Republican pollsters Trafalgar Group of three of the key battleground states which could determine who wins the 2024 election shows that Trump is beating Harris in Pennsylvania (47 percent to 45) and Wisconsin (47 percent to 46). Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in Michigan, with the former president narrowly ahead on 47 percent, and the vice president on 46.6. While Harris has seen waves of enthusiasm for her 2024 bid since she...
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Mark Cuban polls followers on which 2024 presidential candidate they want their kids to be like – Trump won in a landslide
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New York Post ^
| Aug. 31, 2024 | Jackson Thompson
Dallas Mavericks minority owner Mark Cuban posed a question to his followers on X on Friday night in a currently-lopsided poll. “Who’s
persona and character would you like to see young children grow up to have?” Cuban wrote on a two-way poll with the two options being Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Trump won the poll 68.9% to just 31.1% for Harris, with a total of 804,173 votes when the poll ended. The poll prompted several responses from prominent political commentators and influencers on the platform. Former Republican candidate for Missouri Secretary of State Valentina Gomez, who lost earlier this...
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Mark Cuban polls followers on preferring their kids to be like Trump or Harris: Trump wins in a landslide
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Fox ^
| 31 Aug 2024 | Jackson Thompson
Dallas Mavericks minority owner Mark Cuban posed a question to his followers on X on Friday night in a currently-lopsided poll. "Who’s
persona and character would you like to see young children grow up to have?" Cuban wrote on a two-way poll with the two options being Donald Trump and Kamala Harris....
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Insider Advantage Polls: Trump by 1 in AZ, NV and NC. Tied in GA
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Insider Advantage ^
| August 31, 2024 | Insider Advantage
North Carolina: Trump Leads Harris by One Point Georgia: Harris and Trump Tied at 48% Nevada: Trump Leads by One Point Arizona: Trump Leads by One Point
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Harris Dominates New Round of Polls, Beating Or Tying Trump In Every Major Swing State
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mediaite ^
| Aug 31 | Isaac Schorr
A new round of polls from Morning Consult and Bloomberg News suggests that Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris is beating or tied with former President Donald Trump in every major swing state. According
to the survey of 4,962 registered voters conducted between August 23 and 27, Harris leads by 2 points in Georgia and North Carolina, 3 points in Michigan, 4 points in Nevada and Pennsylvania, a whopping 8 points in Wisconsin, and tied with Trump in Arizona.
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Polls: Senate Races Tighten as GOP Challengers in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania Surge
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Breitbart ^
| 08/29/2024 | Nick Gilbertson
Senate races in key battleground states such as Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan–where Republicans look to flip Democrat-held seats red–are tightening, polling shows. A
Fabrizio Ward poll of the three states published by the Pinpoint Policy Institute found very close races in Pennsylvania and Michigan, with Republican challenger Eric Hovde within earshot of Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) in Wisconsin: Swing States poll by Fabrizio Ward (R) MICHIGAN Trump: 48% Harris: 46% MI Senate Slotkin: 43% Rogers: 43% —— PENNSYLVANIA Trump: 47% Harris: 46% PA Senate Casey (inc): 46% McCormick: 43% —— WISCONSIN Harris: 49% Trump: 45% WI Senate … pic.twitter.com/ATsBgoXYZw —...
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Battleground Polls: Donald Trump Has Edge in Close Race for White House
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Breitbart ^
| 08/29/2024 | Nick Gilbertson
Former President Donald Trump has the edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in a close race for the White House, according to a pair of polls published Thursday. Harris has a more challenging road to the White House than Trump when considering the polls–one from Emerson College/Nexstar Media and another from Fabrizio
Ward & Associates– and deeper themes stirring both nationally and in the individual states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. For instance, one essential theme to consider is Trump regularly outperforms the polls: In the post-Democratic National Convention (DNC) August 25-28 Emerson College poll,...
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Nolte: More Polls Show No Post-Convention Bounce for Kamala’s Awful Presidential Campaign
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Breitbart ^
| 08/28/2024 | Jon Nolte
Sitting Vice President Kamala Harris got no bounce whatsoever coming out of her disastrous convention last week. Last
month, between July 19-22, Yahoo polled 1,178 registered voters and found the race tied between former President Trump and CacklyMcNeverBorderCzar. Forty-six to 46 percent. The latest YouGov poll shows Harris actually lost a point against Trump after her convention. Please note the dates of that Yahoo poll. His Fraudulency Joe Biden dropped out of the race in the middle of that poll on July 21. On Tuesday this same pollster released a poll of 1,194 registered voters taken between August 22-26 (five...
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Polls Disagree On Fate Of Florida Marijuana Legalization Initiative
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Forbes ^
| A.J.Herrington
Two recent polls are at odds over the likelihood of success for a Florida initiative to legalize recreational marijuana, with one survey indicating the measure will pass in November and the other suggesting it will not garner enough votes for approval. If
passed in this fall’s general election, Amendment 3 would legalize cannabis for adults aged 21 and older and set the stage for regulated sales of recreational pot. On Tuesday, a Suffolk University/USA TODAY/WSVN-TV poll showed that Amendment 3 would pass with 63% of the vote, significantly higher than the three-fifths majority required for success under Florida law. The...
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