[Snerfling]

Yep...I figure 11%. Recall wins by about 4-5%.

I will personally send you $5 via PayPal if the recall margin is under 10% (ie 55-45). I think it might be closer to 58-42 with Arnie taking it by the 11% you mentioned above.

[EllaMinnow]

Frank Luntz predicted 58-42 on the recall, and Schwarzenegger by 6.

[B Knotts]

I don't think I wanna take that bet. I hope you're right, and in a completely honest election, you probably are. I'm just factoring in 5% vote fraud.