McClintock Can't Win? Do the Math Again

Perspicacity & Paradigms Online ^ | October 1, 2003 | Rand Green

[Saundra Duffy]

I hope this isn't a duplicate posting. Go, McClintock! www.helptom.com

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[DoctorZIn]

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[The Old Hoosier]

[u]nless something happens to give Bustamante a tremendous boost, McClintock can’t possibly be a spoiler. So no one who in their heart of hearts would really rather cast a vote for McClintock than for Schwarzenegger needs to worry about being the cause of a Republican defeat if they vote their conscience. Arnold backers should just lay off the guilt trip, because it is without basis.

[nickcarraway]

Some people are afraid to have a fiscal conservative in charge of California.

[Wheee The People]

Ahhhhh the sweet taste of Kool-aid. Drink it, it's good for you, said Jim Jones....

[Saundra Duffy]

McClintock looks better every minute! By the way, someone hacked into the "Walk For Tom" website and tried to destroy our plans for tomorrow's state-wide precinct walk but they failed. The plans are back up and running. I am a team captain for tomorrow's walk. Can't wait!!! Yahoo! Go, McClintock!!

[w1andsodidwe]

I do not believe I have heard a single Republican supporter of Mr. Scharzenegger declare that he is the best qualified candidate or the preferred choice; only that he is the most electable.

Actually many Schartzenegger supporters believe that he will be able to better build a consensus to govern. Tom McClintock has never shown a willingness to compromise and that will be needed when faced with so many demonRATS in the state legislator. That said, I do believe that Tom would make a fine governor and would vote for him if Arnold was not in the race.

[lilylangtree]

Termite the Gropinator reminds one of Bubba Clintoon and Bob Packwood. Another one of those creeps in office scares the bejesus out of anyone. So go Tom go!

[Saundra Duffy]

Your vote for Arnold is a vote for the Kennedy's to run California. Not for me. Arnold is not a Republican.

McClintock is a proven leader.

[Sabertooth]

Again, let’s run the numbers. Clear, straightforward math.

Currently the polls show: Schwarzenegger, 40 percent. Bustamante, 25 percent. McClintock, 18 percent. Now follow me. Forty plus 18 equals 58. Combined, the Republican candidates beat Bustamante by well over two to one.

Suppose McClintock comes within one point of overtaking Bustamante but can’t quite pull over the top. We can assume that any McClintock gains are likely to come from Schwarzenegger voters, not Bustamante voters. So that would put McClintock at 24 percent, Bustamante at 25 percent, and Schwarzenegger at 34 percent, still the victor by a whopping nine point margin.

If McClintock gains eight points, enough to put him ahead of Bustamante by a point, that still leaves Schwarzenegger with 32 percent of the vote and an impressive seven point margin of victory.

Think what a well-deserved embarrassment that would be for the Democrats to have not one but two Republican candidates get more votes than the lieutenant governor.

You see, unless something happens to give Bustamante a tremendous boost, McClintock can’t possibly be a spoiler.

There's your math.

[ilsalund]

Hang tough, Tom! Still a chance for you to be the next governor of CA.

[EggsAckley]

Ping

[per loin]

And if only Reagan had dropped out, McGovern might have won.

[IpaqMan]

After reading the email from Ray Haynes about McC's ego and stubborn streak, I would not want to see him as governor of CA. I would prefer Issa or Simon than McC.

[So Cal Rocket]

If only Nixon had resigned, Gerald Ford would have been president...

[DoughtyOne]

Thanks for the ping.

[My2Cents]

OVERWHELMINGLY, Republicans who plan on voting for Arnold Schwarzenegger in the California gubernatorial election on October 7 justify their choice by saying that they would rather see Tom McClintock be governor but they just don’t believe Tom can win.

Baloney. I've been saying for weeks that Tom doesn't have the personal qualities necessary to be an effective governor.

[RichInOC]

Forget it, he's rolling.

[My2Cents]

Not me. That's why I'm voting for Arnold.