[deport]

Early Sept Poll to this Poll

McClintock
Negatives: from 20 to 27%
Know Positive: from 39 to 50%
Overall support: 12 to 17%
Republicans: 23 to 27%
democrat: 4 to 8%
Other/ind: 10 to 19%

Schwarzenegger:
Negatives: from 34 to 36%
Know Positive: 52 to 55%
Overall support: 28 to 35%
Republicans: 44 to 60%
Democrats: 13 to 17%
Other/Ind: 30 to 27%

Poll Internals........ very interesting
http://www.calchamber.com/PDF/03597ResultsMemo.pdf

[ambrose]

Arnold clearly hasn't won over the indies in the big numbers expected by many..

[capitan_refugio]

Thank you for the insight into this particular poll. I find it interesting that Schwarzenegger is taking the "Republican" vote by 60% to 27% for McClintock. This is slightly higher than the 5:3 ratio that was reported in another dataset before the debates (for "conservatives" rather than "Republicans"). I am guessing this reflects that the Schwarzenegger soft conservative support is firming slightly.

Winning back the Republicans and other conservatives is the key to the McClintock election strategy. although he has traction, I doubt there is enough time. As long as Schwarzenegger can avoid stating the depth of his convictions, the better he will do.