Why do I say this? Recent polling data suggests that Schwarzenegger is "winning" the conservative vote by a 5:3 ratio. If all conservatives (Republicans, Libertarians, etc), the natural constituency of McClintock, stayed with him, rather than polling at 15% he would be closer to 40%. Afterall, he got 49.5% of the vote last November - better than any Republican in the statewide election. But far too many conservatives lack the political backbone to stay the course and are willing to settle for their second choice.
Get REAL! 40% of California are NOT conservatives. This is the big error all you McSpoiler types buy into.
Anybody who thinks that the contribution of California conservatives will be worth >40% of the vote is simply delusional. Go ride on It's A Small World at Disneyland if you want to delude yourself into some happiness, but don't do it with moronic opinions like the idea that CA conservatives could push McSpoiler over the top. They're ALREADY voting for McSpoiler, for one, and for another, THERE ARE A MILLION MORE DEMOCRATS THAN REPUBLICANS IN CALIFORNIA. These are not moderate Democrats, and these are not conservative Republicans.
This is CALIFORNIA. If you think McSpoiler's 14% can become >40% if 'conservatives' vote for him, then your arithmetic skills are severely lacking.
There aren't that many conservatives in California, PERIOD.