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Look Into The Eye of The Storm: 32 Hours Til Isabel Arrives
NHC | 9-17-03 | my favorite headache

Posted on 09/17/2003 1:45:35 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache

Good Morning Freepers....



TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: anotheruselesspost; hurricaneisabel; ycantwetalkhurricane
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To: meowmeow
"Went to the hardware store last night for some plywood (we have a big tree in the back yard that is too close for comfort!" How is the plywood going to help against the tree?
241 posted on 09/17/2003 7:41:57 AM PDT by TBall
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To: meowmeow
Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 46

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on September 17, 2003

 
...Isabel continues north-northwestward...coastal warnings
updated...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina
to Chincoteague virgina...including Pamlico and Albemarle
sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area...generally within 24 hours.

 
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

 
At 11 am...a Tropical Storm Warning has replaced the Hurricane Watch
south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north
of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay.
A Tropical Storm Warning has also replaced the Hurricane Watch for
the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal
Potomac.

 
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located
near latitude 30.0 north... longitude 72.6 west or about 400 miles
south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

 
Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph. Some
increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 hours. On
the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make
landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday.
However...the precise timing and location of landfall is
uncertain...and conditions will deteriorate over a large area well
before the center reaches the coast.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected to reach the coastline late tonight.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph...with higher gusts. Little
change in strength is forecast prior to landfall.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315
miles.

 
The most recent minimum central pressure reported by reconnaissance
aircraft was 957 mb...28.26 inches.

 
Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near
and to the north of where the center crosses the coast.  Storm
surge flooding of 4 to 7 ft above normal tide levels is expected in
southern Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

 
Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher
amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

 
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...30.0 N... 72.6 W.  Movement
toward...north-northwest near  9 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...110 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 957 mb.

 
For storm-related information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office...and statements from
local emergency management officials.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 5 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Franklin

242 posted on 09/17/2003 7:43:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: AppyPappy
Right.

If it comes ashore in NC vs. VA Beach, VA Beach will only get wind and rain.

If it hits VA Beach, they will get fire and brimstone instead.
243 posted on 09/17/2003 7:43:14 AM PDT by Hammerhead
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To: TBall
They are going to build a mobile home to use as bait for the tree.
244 posted on 09/17/2003 7:43:50 AM PDT by AppyPappy (If You're Not A Part Of The Solution, There's Good Money To Be Made In Prolonging The Problem.)
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To: xsmommy
Thanks for the reminder - I need to check the Accomac district website - to figure out what the heck they are doing!!!
245 posted on 09/17/2003 7:46:12 AM PDT by Gabz (anti-smokers - personification of everything wrong in this country.)
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To: keeper53
i'm about an hour's drive north of Lynchburg; about 2 hours north of Roanoke. The eye is due at 2am Friday morning between Charlottesville and Richmond. Thursday morning only might be ok to fly but of course that's up to the airlines. Personally, i would not travel tomorrow or Friday.
246 posted on 09/17/2003 7:48:26 AM PDT by southriver4
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To: P.O.E.
Not sure why, but for some reason, seeing this pic made me think of Tourist Guy. Not sure where he is located, but sure hope he's prepared! :)
247 posted on 09/17/2003 7:49:46 AM PDT by hawkk
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To: hawkk
I think Tourist Guy lives in Yugoslavia or something, so he should be OK.
248 posted on 09/17/2003 7:50:22 AM PDT by dead (Perdicaris alive or Raisuli dead!)
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To: dead
whew! I feel better now! thanks!
249 posted on 09/17/2003 7:50:51 AM PDT by hawkk
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To: Howlin
He is actually the most boring uninspiring person I've ever heard speak out loud.

Worse than Lieberman?

250 posted on 09/17/2003 7:51:50 AM PDT by Dan from Michigan (There are two things in the middle of the road. Roadkill, and a yellow stripe.)
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To: TBall
How is plywood going to help against a tree?

If a branch comes crashing through a window, we need something to patch the hole! That reminds me - need to get the chain saw out of the shed tonight, just in case.

251 posted on 09/17/2003 7:53:26 AM PDT by meowmeow
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To: NautiNurse
315 miles? She grew 55 miles!
252 posted on 09/17/2003 7:53:55 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: GRANGER
Thanks for the good wishes for her safety - I'm sure some prayer would be appreciated by those who are going to have to go through this storm.

Just spoke to her by phone and still nothing regarding the storm from the university. There is no dorm administration - the place where she stays is more like apartments than a dorm - no supervision. Confirmed that she does live, go to school and work in what is called Old Town.

She's out getting supplies as I type this.

253 posted on 09/17/2003 7:54:26 AM PDT by texgal (end no-fault divorce laws and return DUE PROCESS to our citizens))
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To: Dan from Michigan
Yes, because he has absolutely NO facial expressions, period.
254 posted on 09/17/2003 7:55:10 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: 4Freedom
Marking for later reading.
255 posted on 09/17/2003 7:56:08 AM PDT by 4Freedom (America is no longer the 'Land of Opportunity', it's the 'Land of Illegal Alien Opportunists'!!!)
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To: djf
"If you got a pomeranian, hope you superglued him to the floor!"

I dunno...with all that water you may want to glue him to the ceiling!

Good luck to everyone involved with this storm. It's a stressful time, not just when it makes landfall, but the days leading up as well. Get some rest while you can!! (but wear out the little ones energy as much as you can... they'll be cooped up a while).

256 posted on 09/17/2003 7:57:21 AM PDT by sweet_diane (Philippians 4:12-13)
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To: 4Freedom
Here she comes:

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kmhx.shtml
257 posted on 09/17/2003 7:58:06 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: CollegeRepublican
For the most part, I think people on the shore don't want alot of people to know about it. It is a treasure.

I don't disagree with that - however in situations like this, it would be nice if a little more info was provided, at least for the locals.

258 posted on 09/17/2003 7:58:11 AM PDT by Gabz (anti-smokers - personification of everything wrong in this country.)
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To: meowmeow
don't forget to gas up the chain saw!!
259 posted on 09/17/2003 7:58:33 AM PDT by sweet_diane (Philippians 4:12-13)
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To: sweet_diane
Everyone remembers gas, some remember to have an extra chain, and very few remember to make sure they have plenty of bar oil. :-)
260 posted on 09/17/2003 8:00:44 AM PDT by NCjim
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