[NathanR]

"or that if Arnold doesn't win, Bustamante will-- no other outcomes exist."

A third option exists. All the conservatives stay home and the recall fails. (That is the problem with both McClintock and Simon leaving the race.)

[GraniteStateConservative]

FNC brought up a good point-- as long as he doesn't advocate people vote for himself and only talks about supporting the recall, Arnold may be able to finance a lot of great ads to make sure the recall does pass. The Dems might cry and seek a ruling from the CA Supremes, but they aren't very liberal at all and are inclined to allow it.