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To: RnMomof7
Except Canada is still having new cases

Then active cases wouldn't be at zero would they. That chart I put up says it's going to zero in about two weeks. Which would mean no new cases in Canada or anywhere else.

54 posted on 06/15/2003 1:10:23 PM PDT by StACase
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To: StACase
Then active cases wouldn't be at zero would they. That chart I put up says it's going to zero in about two weeks. Which would mean no new cases in Canada or anywhere else.

No they wouldn't does that tell you something?

Resurgence of SARS cases in Toronto

TORONTO, June 11 (UPI) -- The World Health Organization said Wednesday it is concerned over the resurgence of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Toronto.

Toronto, which had been removed from the list of areas with recent local transmission May 14, was again added to the list on May 26 following evidence more than one generation of new cases had occurred.

Since the disease first resurged in Toronto, more than 90 new probable cases have been reported.

Health authorities in Toronto are again on high alert and are treating all hospital-associated clusters of patients with fever or respiratory symptoms as possible SARS cases until proven otherwise.

Possible cases are immediately isolated. All contacts are being traced and, when warranted, placed in home quarantine. Infection control measures are being followed in all affected facilities. WHO welcomes these precautionary measures.

WHO said it is monitoring the situation closely.

I

RALEIGH, N.C. - Canadian officials are wondering if a North Carolina man really did contract SARS in Toronto.

* INDEPTH: SARS: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Health officials in the southeastern U.S. state say he visited a medical centre in Toronto and came into contact with a person who had severe acute respiratory syndrome.

The unidentified 47-year-old man is in stable condition and recovering at home in isolation in Orange County.

• Go to CBSNews.com Home



New SARS Worries In Toronto
TORONTO, June 3, 2003


An increasing number of SARS cases in Canada's largest city is worrying the World Health Organization, which discussed the possibility of re-imposing a travel advisory on Toronto, a spokeswoman said Tuesday.

Health officials have reported 62 probable cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome in a new cluster that became known after the initial outbreak in March and April was believed under control.

The biggest outbreak of SARS outside Asia has killed 32 people in the Toronto area, including a 60-year-old man who died May 20. His case was reported Monday.

"We've been concerned by the increasing number of cases in Toronto," said Maria Cheng, a spokeswoman for the WHO communicable diseases division, from the Geneva headquarters. "Our epidemiological team is still looking for a bit more information."

She said the Toronto situation was discussed at a meeting Tuesday to review travel advisories that have been issued or were under consideration. No change was made because the new SARS cluster in the city appeared limited to hospitals, Cheng said.

"We are optimistic that Toronto is able to contain this outbreak," she said. "To us, it still looks very much like the transmission of SARS is confined to the hospital setting and there is no general public transmission of SARS."

The second cluster of SARS cases landed Toronto back on a WHO list of SARS-affected cities or regions. The U.N. agency previously issued a travel advisory for Toronto, but rescinded it a week later after Canadian officials complained it was unwarranted and promised better screening of international travelers for SARS.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has reinstated a travel alert for Toronto, informing travelers of a health concern there.

A new WHO travel advisory would devastate the city already reeling from the SARS outbreak, which has overwhelmed the health care system and hurt the vital convention and tourism industry.

On Monday, the Dixie Chicks postponed a June 12 show until August, and theater producers announced they will close "The Lion King" in September after 1,300 performances seen by 2.3 million people over more than three years.

Complaints by nurses that their warnings in mid-May of a new cluster went unheeded caused Ontario officials to announce a review of the situation Monday.

The 62 cases reported Monday were an increase of 10 over the previous day, and health officials also said 6,800 people were under home quarantine because of possible exposure to SARS.

Dr. Colin D'Cunha, the Ontario commissioner of public health, said 5,000 health care workers were in working quarantine, which means they continue working but must wear mask, gown and gloves inside and outside of hospitals and isolate themselves at home.

D'Cunha said the latest death turned up when officials went back to check an unexplained respiratory illness in the case. The victim's wife also is a SARS patient.

"This is not an easy diagnosis. This diagnosis mimics just about everything else," said Dr. James Young, the Ontario commissioner of public safety. "It is proving to be extremely difficult."

Young urged people to avoid hospitals unless absolutely necessary to ease the burden on a system coping with the illness.

Health officials thought they had the illness under control after the initial cluster appeared in March and April, but an undiagnosed case at North York General Hospital led to a further spread among other patients, family members and health care workers.

55 posted on 06/15/2003 2:58:37 PM PDT by RnMomof7
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To: StACase
Let us see what hapens in two weeks shall we. You have made your prediction and if you are right I expect a flag to your thread stating you were right. If you are wrong I likewise expect a flag to your thread stating you were wrong.

I shall congratulate you if you were right and praise you for your wisdom. If wrong then I shall make not of the fact that you tried to minimize a potential threat on insufficient or eroneous data.

My Crystal ball doesn't work so I can not make either judgement yet. If you are right and we take no further precautions about SARS then we have no problems. If you are wrong and as a result we do not take sufficient precautions against this reported disease then you shall share some of the blame for any future fatalities.

I for one do not like making unqualified predictions unless I am absolutely sure I am correct. You are on the record as to what you predict for the future. Let us hope you are right.

120 posted on 06/17/2003 5:30:15 AM PDT by harpseal (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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