Bush Edges Clinton, Tops All Comers In New York, But Most Voters Say She Should Stay In The Senate

Quinnipiac ^ | 4/24/03

[areafiftyone]

If New York Sen. Hillary Clinton challenged President George W. Bush in 2004, the not-so-native daughter would be on the short side of a 47 -- 44 percent split among New York voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Clinton has a 52 -- 36 percent approval rating and New York voters say 59 -- 37 percent that she should not run for President next year.

President Bush has a 58 -- 37 percent approval in New York, up from 50 -- 44 percent in a February 12 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

"That a president fresh off a wartime win would poll higher than most wannabes isn't surprising. What will surprise many is that President Bush does so well against Sen. Clinton," said Maurice Carroll director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"In 2000, Bush was so far behind in New York, he didn't even bother to campaign here.

"Meanwhile, New Yorkers want Hillary to stay home. They'd rather have her call Chappaqua home than to try going back to Pennsylvania Avenue."

Bush is ahead of other leaders in the Democratic Presidential pack:

• 50 -- 38 percent over Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman;
• 50 -- 38 percent over Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry;
• 49 -- 38 percent over Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt.

As a result of the war in Iraq, 31 percent of New York State voters say they are more likely to vote for Bush for reelection, with 28 percent saying they are less likely and 38 percent saying their position hasn't changed.

New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.

From April 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 885 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Approve	59	54	66	57	58	60	64
Disapprove	22	31	16	23	26	18	25
DK/NA	19	15	17	20	16	21	11
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Approve	51	58	56	63	59
Disapprove	27	20	21	22	23
DK/NA	22	23	22	15	17
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Approve	52	31	72	46	50	54	53
Disapprove	36	61	18	42	41	32	35
DK/NA	12	8	11	12	9	14	12
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Approve	42	49	48	59	48
Disapprove	47	40	42	28	40
DK/NA	11	10	10	13	11
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W.Bush is handling his job as President?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Approve	58	91	38	56	60	57	59
Disapprove	37	7	56	40	35	39	38
DK/NA	4	1	5	4	4	4	3
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Approve	68	65	66	46	66
Disapprove	27	32	31	50	29
DK/NA	5	3	3	5	5
9. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Clinton	44	7	72	39	37	50	47
Bush	47	90	16	49	52	42	44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	-	3	3	3	2	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	-	2	3	2	1	2
DK/NA	5	3	6	6	6	5	6
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Clinton	26	34	33	61	35
Bush	63	55	57	29	58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	4	2	2	2	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	1	1	1	2	1
DK/NA	5	7	7	5	4
10. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W.Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Lieberman	38	6	66	34	34	41	45
Bush	50	88	23	47	54	46	43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	-	2	5	4	1	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	1	3	3	2	2	4
DK/NA	8	5	5	11	6	10	6
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Lieberman	21	28	26	54	33
Bush	68	56	59	35	57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	3	3	3	2	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	-	2	1	3	3
DK/NA	8	12	11	6	6
11. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Kerry	38	4	65	35	36	40	42
Bush	50	92	21	49	53	46	43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	1	-	1	2	2	1	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	1	1	1	2	2	1	1
DK/NA	10	3	12	12	8	13	12
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Kerry	22	28	27	55	30
Bush	65	59	60	32	60
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	1	2	1	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	-	-	-	1	3
DK/NA	10	11	11	11	8
12. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Gephardt	38	5	67	33	37	39	42
Bush	49	90	20	48	52	46	45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	2	1	1	3	2	2	2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	-	2	4	2	2	2
DK/NA	9	3	10	11	7	11	10
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Gephardt	23	27	26	53	34
Bush	64	58	60	32	57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)	3	3	3	2	1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)	2	2	2	2	2
DK/NA	8	10	10	11	6
13. As a result of the war with Iraq, are you now more likely to support George W. Bush for a second term as President, less likely to support him for a second term, or hasn't the war changed your feeling on that?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
More likely	31	54	14	30	35	26	27
Less likely	28	7	40	32	25	30	33
Hasn't changed	38	37	39	37	34	40	40
DK/NA	4	2	7	1	5	3	1
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
More likely	27	35	33	21	42
Less likely	20	25	24	38	18
Hasn't changed	49	35	38	37	38
DK/NA	4	5	5	4	2
14. Would you like to see Hillary Rodham Clinton run for President in 2004 or not?
							Union
	Tot	Rep	Dem	Ind	Men	Wom	HsHolds
Yes	37	11	55	32	29	43	38
No	59	85	40	62	65	54	59
DK/NA	4	4	5	5	5	3	3
	UpState.............		UpState
	Urban	Othr	Total	NYC	Sub
Yes	23	29	27	51	30
No	74	67	69	44	66
DK/NA	3	4	4	5	5

[rs79bm]

Good news for 2004, but look out in 2008 she'll be in the game

And just how do you figure she will all of a sudden become a viable candidate in '08?

[nina0113]

Her face won't hold up til 08, & it's too late for her to start plastic surgery now. She should have been getting tiny little tucks done all along.

[trebb]

Makes me ashamed that Hillary is in NY, but makes me glad to be FROM NY. How can the idiot voters understand that she is not good for the country, but still want her as their Senator? Did they include pets and dead people in the polls or is it really that inane?

[RedBloodedAmerican]

Average White Band?

[Trust but Verify]

Yeah, that's what I had in mind.

[republicanwizard]

Are you not proud that you state will give the President 31 electoral votes in 2004?

Keep in mind that if New York goes for Bush, then so will Connecticut and New Jersey. I still have hope for Massachusetts and Rhode Island, being that Bush lost those states by the same margin and is now leading in one of them by 12 points.

[Deport Billary]

Non-jewish whites are only about 64% of NY voters. I don't think a conservative will ever win the state again, but GWB has a much better shot at Connecticut, Maine, Pennsylvania. The landslide scenario is a likelihood at this point...

Schumer is nauseating! That approval rating is disheartening and unless Rudy gets into the race, we're going to have to put up with upChuck until he dies/retires.

[Illbay]

If they throw her out of office in 2006, you can knock me over with a feather.

We're stuck with the *****.

[Illbay]

Oh, if he signs the extension to the AWB, why, that means he'll plummet to 30% approval nationwide!

You see, there is NOTHING more important to the electorate than the discontinuation of the AWB!

[Illbay]

He's thinking that the GOP has no one beyond GWB.

[ItsTheMediaStupid]

How in the world can a story starting with Bush Edges Clinton, be breaking news? This is a poll, not even news. Let alone breaking news.

[Mo1]

Sen. Clinton has a 52 -- 36 percent approval rating and New York voters say 59 -- 37 percent that she should not run for President next year.

Nice numbers but it still won't stop her

I expect her to start even more trouble to try and make Bush look bad

[smith288]

why would 7 percent of registered R's vote for Hillary if she ran against Bush???!?!?!!! Who ARE these idiots and whya re they even registered R's?

[smith288]

I expect her to start even more trouble to try and make Bush look bad

Is Bush too compassionate to pull out some of the dirt he is SURE to own on them?

[Mo1]

Is Bush too compassionate to pull out some of the dirt he is SURE to own on them?

As much as I wish he would .. he won't do that

He'll just let the truth speak for it's self .. and Hellary wouldn't know the truth if it smacked her upside the head

[Trust but Verify]

There's nothing worse in the minds of .325 percent of voters then for Bush to extend this insignificant law. He could give them 99% of the pie, but that last 1% will be his downfall.

Silly, really.

[areafiftyone]

Well the Admin Moderators can take it out if they don't want it in breaking news. I have no problem with that. But apparently its okay with them (so far!)

[No Dems 2004]

Some may call it crazy, but I firmly believe that George W. Bush is capable of winning New York in 2004. The same goes for California. New York has repeatedly shown itself capable of voting Republican for the governorship and other prominent races.

[Wphile]

New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.

Bush's numbers look good but this is soooo depressing about Schumer! How in the world can Republicans approve of Schumer and his obstructionsim regarding judicial nominees. New York is a very sorry state.

[Sloth]

New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.

WTH?!