[Senator Pardek]

He couldn't win NY if Sharpton was running against him. I know - I live here.

[KC Burke]

He couldn't win NY if Sharpton was running against him. I know - I live here

Well, let's think it through a little further.

Can the Dem nominee win if Sharpton is given the bums rush by the Dem Primary process or if Sharpton runs as an independent? If Sharpton is the Dems national nominee, won't his liberalism spell their doom with or without NY?

Now, I will admit, I find a NY victory a very uncertain thing for GWB, but he certainly will run better than last time in your state IMHO.

[Williams]

It can't be done but Pataki does it. And Sharpton will not be the nominee. If Sharpton runs third party dems can forget it. Nice thought, isn't it?

[Verginius Rufus]

Bush can't carry New York City, obviously, unless the Democrats nominate Rocker, but he might have an outside chance of carrying the state. Reagan carried New York state by more than half a million votes in 1984--Mondale had wide margins in 4 of the boroughs of NYC, but lost practically all the other counties (he narrowly carried the counties which include Buffalo, Albany, and Ithaca). Has the state become that much more inhospitable to Republicans since 1984? Bush carried 35 counties in the state in 2000--mostly rural counties.

[Arthur Wildfire! March]

If Sharpton doesn't win the primary, it won't matter. In fact, Sharpton losing in the primary might make Bush's move that much better. Frankly, I can't imagine Sharpton being the DNC nominee.

[expatpat]

No, but:

(a) if Sharpton gets the Dem nomination, W won't have to win NY.

(b) if Sharpton runs and gets dissed by the Dem establishment, then he would be more likely to win NY.