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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Thank you for the info. On a technical point, if Chavez felt the need to be sworn in again, it is a tacit admission that he had resigned. But the more important aspect of the second swearing-in in Venezuela is that it potentially allows Chavez to reset his term clock from today. That will not go down so well.

Chavez is sounding a conciliatory note. That is good and bad. Good, in the sense that he senses his weakness and realizes the dangers of trying to obtain payback. He may have made some deals to get sprung. Bad in that a vicious, vengeful Chavez would provoke a stronger backlash than a meek one.

Prediction unchanged. First round to the challenger, second round to the defending champ. The round girls are circling the ring, the seconds are whispering into the fighter's ears. Round three to follow.
4 posted on 04/14/2002 2:48:10 AM PDT by wretchard
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To: wretchard
The Washington Post had him KO'd. I hope this eventually will be the final call.

(April 13, 2002)Washington Post Chavez's Gloomy Legacy for The Left [Excerpt] Now Colombia's government-sanctioned guerrilla haven is gone. So is Chavez after three tumultuous years of leftist agitating, class warfare and a spasm of violence on the streets of this capital, suggesting that leftist revolutions waged even by elected leaders are not the choice of a region still highly susceptible to populist appeals. Or at least not the way Chavez carries out revolutions.

"The lesson here is that charismatic demagogues can still win elections in poor countries," said Anibal Romero, a political science professor at Simon Bolivar University here. "The economic and social instability is still with us. The field is still open for the successful appearance of these figures that, by distorting reality and securing the hearts and minds of the uneducated,win elections."

…………..Part of the problem is the way people such as Chavez, who had been on the outside of a corrupt two-party lock on power for years, play the game once they take office. After his failed 1992 coup, Chavez served a two-year prison sentence and then began a journey of discovery on horseback across Venezuela's countryside. He was accompanied by an Argentine neo-fascist, Norberto Ceresole, who believed that a leader should rule with the army at his side.

After his election, Chavez set out to weaken Venezuela's institutions, first by engineering a new constitution that bolstered his power and then by appointing loyal military officers to run its independent agencies. Chavez set out to run a country with a sophisticated economy, based primarily on its vast oil reserves, as a one-man show. He employed the military to carry out social projects, and passed by fiat such important legislation as a land reform measure that would confiscate private property. [End Excerpt]

His supporters:

Chavistas: Venezuelan street toughs****CARACAS, Venezuela - From her bed in a Caracas military hospital, the wiry, chain-smoking prisoner vowed to continue a hunger strike and risk becoming the first death in Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez's "revolution." "Comandante" Lina Ron, who considers herself a modern version of "Tania," a woman who fought alongside Cuban revolutionary Ernesto Che Guevara, says she is a willing martyr for Chavez's cause. She was arrested after leading a violent pro-Chavez counter-protest against demonstrating university students. Thousands follow her lead in Venezuela and they have increasingly quashed dissent, breaking up anti-government protests, intimidating journalists and alarming the president's critics.****

Iran Sees U.S. Behind Chavez's Venezuela Ouster

Cuba protests ouster of Venezuela's Chavez***

6 posted on 04/14/2002 2:53:37 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: wretchard
I think you're right, wretchard. I don't think this is over yet. When Chavez was ousted (but not killed) I had a really bad feeling that he was somehow going to get back in, because he had done so much to pervert Venezuela's legal and constitutional infrastructure to his own uses and had replaced so many administrators with his own lackeys.

His return from prison to the presidency in the first place should have been a warning of what a dangerous and canny man he is. If Round Three happens, I hope he ends up as one of those very permanent KO's. That's the only thing that is going to solve Venezuela's problem.

11 posted on 04/14/2002 3:52:03 AM PDT by livius
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