SIMON LEADS DAVIS BY SEVEN!

e-mail | 3/16/2002 | Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc

[dalereed]

THE INSIDER: Political Information Network

THE AUTHORITATIVE GUIDE FOR SACRAMENTO INSIDERS AND POLITICAL LEADERS

M E M O R A N D U M

TO: Sacramento Political Insiders & Interested Parties

FROM: Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc.

RE: Simon Solidly Ahead of Davis in New California Poll

DATE: March 16, 2002

SIMON LEADS DAVIS BY SEVEN!

48% - 41%

SACRAMENTO - A recent statewide poll conducted by the nationally recognized political polling firm, Public Opinion Strategies Inc. (POS), reveals that businessman and charity leader Bill Simon leads Gray Davis 48% to 41%.

The poll results reveal that Gray Davis is extremely vulnerable in his re-election campaign, and California voters are looking to a new leader like Bill Simon to rescue the state from the litany of crises that have exploded on Davis' watch.

Simon Leads Davis Among Both Women and Men

Despite false claims by the Davis campaign that Simon would have a difficult time attracting support from female voters, Simon actually leads Davis among women by a 46%-43% margin. Among men Davis is especially weak. Simon receives support from a majority of men (51%) while only 39% of men support the troubled incumbent Governor.

Democrats Remain Lukewarm Towards Davis - Republicans Solidly Behind Simon

Davis' failures as Governor have been so pronounced that he has a difficult time retaining the support of even registered Democrats. While 81% of Republicans support Simon, Davis receives the support of merely 63% of Democrats.

This point is even more strongly underscored by the intensity of support the two candidates receive. 71% of Republicans strongly support Simon while only 48% of Democrats strongly support Davis.

Simon Lead Over Davis Extends Throughout the State - Including Los Angeles

Just as Bill Simon's lead over Davis extends across numerous demographics, Simon's support similarly is not limited to a specific region in the state. Simon leads in every media market of the state except San Francisco. Among the major media markets Simon's lead is dramatic.

SIMON- DAVIS Ballot by Major Media Market

SAN DIEGO SIMON 57% DAVIS 33%

SACRAMENTO SIMON 52% DAVIS 34%

LOS ANGELES SIMON 49% DAVIS 40%

?

SAN FRANCISCO SIMON 38% DAVIS 54%

Davis Viewed Unfavorably By 50% of California Voters

After mishandling the state's education policies, energy crisis and budget and fiscal problems, California voters have formed a seriously negative view of Gray Davis. One out of every two voters (50%) views Gray Davis in an unfavorable light.

Meanwhile, almost half of all voters (45%) have a favorable view of Bill Simon, only 42% of voters have a favorable view of Davis.

Davis Failures and Unfavorable Image Lead Voters to Look for Someone New

Davis image problems and poor job performance have resulted in only 36% of voters expressing a desire to re-elect him. A startling 55% of voters said "a new person should be elected Governor of California." Historically when such a number is higher than 50%, it has foreshadowed a resounding defeat for the incumbent on Election Day.

Primary Campaign Perfectly Positioned Simon for General Election Victory

Simon campaign chief strategist, Sal Russo, said, "the primary election campaign which focused on Bill Simon as the candidate of ideas has resonated well with California voters. While Gray Davis is focused on blaming everybody else for his failed leaderships, voters are responding to Bill Simon's message of ideas for solving California's problems."

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____________________________________ Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc

770 L Street, Suite 950

Sacramento, CA 95814

(916) 441-3734

[dalereed]

Things are looking better all the time!

[katherineisgreat]

God bless you California freepers!
If/when Simon is elected it will be a wonderful day!

[Dan from Michigan]

LOS ANGELES SIMON 49% DAVIS 40%

That's amazing.

However, polls don't mean that much. It comes down to TURNOUT.

[Batrachian]

Gray Davis is a seriously incompetent socialist and Californians would have to be insane to re-elect him.

Uh-oh. Now I'm worried.

[Toidylop]

"Vote for Simon, he's not isane!"

[alloysteel]

And even now, Gray Davis is milking the situation by causing (indirectly) a sharp upward trend in gasoline prices. Elect him, and he will fight the evil refineries and force them to sell gasoline at a loss, which will be made up by taking from the surplus in the California state treasury. It worked for the electric utilities, didn't it?

Small flaw. Not too much surplus left in the state treasury. And the oil companies have other markets for their products, outside of California.

Is Gray Davis deranged, or does he take pills to remain so willfully uninformed?

[PJ-Comix]

Watch the smears begin.

[usconservative]

Congrats California Freepers! Keep up the great work!

We here in Illinois have some work of our own to do. One lying Incumbent RINO on the way out the door, working very hard to replace him with a Conservative.

Tuesday is primary day here in Illinois. Keeping my fingers crossed...

[dalereed]

" It comes down to TURNOUT."

I hope that the democrats don't pull one of their nasty tricks and place a bunch of hot button issues on the ballot in order to generate democrat turnout. They have pulled it in the past.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Theoretically, Simon is in the position to rebuff these ridiculous claims and place the fault on Davis.

[CounterCounterCulture]

Spectacular!

Now let's not let up. It's going to be a fight to the finish.

[I_Love_My_Husband]

Dale if we can get a big turnout at the polls with conservatives we will win. If 70% of the registered republican voters of California come out and vote, even if you live in liberal areas (like SF) Simon will win and win big.

[Buckeroo]

I think the world of ya. But this polling stuff is w-a-a-y-y too early to shout about. This is going to be a tough race. And there is a very real possibility that Bill Simon will win. But we don't count our chickens before they hatch, do we? We keep our faces to the grindstone and make it happen.

We want the gray out! But the polls haven't determined anything just yet.

[dalereed]

Every conservative needs to call every Republican they know and make sure they vote.

One thing that i've noticed is that to date I haven't seen one Simon or Davis bumper sticker (except on my pickup and my wifes car) and I drive 500-600 miles a week at all times of the day.

[Regulator]

Just Remember,

DUMP DAVIS

That's going to be MY bumper sticker.

[Nick Danger]

This is going to be one of those buckets of ice cold water that gets tossed into the faces of reporters every now and then, to remind them that nobody reads their stuff and nobody believes them.

This time last month, the liberal jerks in the media had already decided, on behalf of all Republicans, in fact for the Republicans' own good, that the "correct" candidate for the GOP to nominate -- if it wanted to have even a chance -- was Riordan. As far as the California media domeheads were concerned, there wasn't anyone else in the race. This Simon guy was just some right-wing kookburger that those marginalized conservatives in the GOP hoped to score a primary upset with, but he didn't have a chance, and if did he win by some fluke, Davis would dispatch him with a flick of the wrist.

And now this.

Bwaa Ha Ha!

[Hildy]

No it's not. We all know that if the Democratic base goes to vote, we're toast. The idea is to let them think Simon is behind, that way they'll stay home. This is going to be a long seven months.

[Libertarian_4_eva]

What has Simon been up to? I have not read anything about him after he won till now. I hope he is not taking a break. To beat davis not only does he need big numbers to turnout but he also needs to work those cities to keep davis and his money locked up.

[Mini-14]

I just moved to Illinois about a week ago. Can I vote in the primary (for O' Malley of course)?

[monkeyshine]

Hey, does anyone know Simon's position on CCW, and does he have any plans about them?