RENO IS A THREAT

She CAN NOT be underestimated. I'd rather face her than a Pete Peterson, but we can not be complacent here.

I posted this on another thread.

This is not a gimme though. Reno is not viewed as Geoff Fieger by everyone. Here's the trouble. Without Nader, Gore would have won. The blacks there will out for blood and there will be a large grassroots effort among the NAAC(communist)P to beat Jeb. I also think Palm Beach and Broward will be after him too. They feel robbed, even though they wern't.

It will come down to TURNOUT.

The dems won
Alachua[Gainesville](by 13,000)
Broward[Ft Lauderdale, etc](by 210,000),
Gasden[Quincy, near Talahassee](by 5000),
Hernado[Rural north of Tampa](by 2000),
Jefferson[East of Talahassee](by 600),
Leon[Talahasee](by 22,000),
Miami-Dade(by 39000),
Monroe[Key West](by 400),
Orange[Orlando](by 6000),
Osceloa[Kissimmee-St Cloud](by 1900),
Palm Beach[Boca Raton/Palm Beach](by 117,000),
Pasco[North of Tampa](by 1000),
Pinellas[St. Pete](by 16,000),
St Lucie[Fort Pierce](by 7000),
Volusia[Daytona Beach](by 15,000).

This is not counting the Nader voters. Bush needs a turnout in Dixie, Cubans, and Military Absentees, along with conservatives in general to win.

Bush needs a HUGE turnout from these areas.
Bay(+18,000) (Panama City)
Brevard(+19000) (Melbourne)
Duval(+50,000) (Jacksonville)
Escambia(+33000) (Pensacola)
Higlands(+6000) (Sebring)
Hillsborough(+11000) (Tampa area)
Indian River(+9000) (Winter Beach)
Lake (+14000) (near Orlando)
Lee (+27000) (Ft Myers)
Manatee(+8000) (Brandenton)
Marion(+11000) (Ocala)
Martin(+7000) (North of Palm Beach)
Nassau(+9500) (North of Jacksonville)
Oklaoosa (+36000) (Fort Walton Beach near Pensacola)
Polk (+15,000) (Lakeland)
Santa Rosa(+15000) (near Pensacola)
Seminole(+16000) (Winter Park, near Orlando)
St Johns(+20000) (St Augustine)
Walton(+6500) (Near Panama City)

Could a VERY HIGH Palm Beach, Broward, Gainesville, Talahassee, Non-Cuban Dade, and Black Vote, take out the Cuban and North Fla vote?? That's the question there. I think Central Fla decides this.

I think Florida and Michigan are similar politically with a strong regional politics, although Florida is about 4-5% to the right of MI.