Keep in mind, Trump may be doing better nationally. But he may be struggling in the battleground states.
i don’t go out of my way to follow the polls, but the headlines i read here in FR say he is doing well in the battleground states.
I would also think any Republican doing well nationally would also be doing well in battleground states. An opinion anyway.
Seems like it is the opposite.
Keep in mind that he’s doing well in the battleground states.
Because of the way Electoral Votes are computed, if the Dem candidate is not at least 3-4 pts ahead nationally, it’s likely that the GOP candidate wins.
One reason being Democrats often win larger, urban, and more populous states like California and New York by wide margins, but this doesn’t add more EVs than what is needed to win that state. Meanwhile, Republicans can win multiple smaller or mid-sized states with less total votes than the large Democrat states by narrow margins and accumulate more electoral votes.
OK, Desantis butt hurt, we’ll keep that in mind.
If Trump wins the popular vote by two that’s an electoral landslide. All the 2020 states plus the swing states and even places like MN NH NM VA.
Emmerson did a poll of Trumpbin Cali, he was down 60-36 in the most populus state in the union. Is there any indication that hea within 10 in the other big populus states such as Illinois, NY. Polls are saying hes up only 5 in Texas. Now if all of that is true then he just has broad support nationwide and that would suggest he’s actually winning the battleground states rather comfortably. (Between thoae 3 state NY, IL And CA Trump starts off behind almost 10m votes). You can do the math. All that being said it’s not really knowable which polls are true and which polls are bunk, ager them out and it’s just as meaningless to me.
In my experience if a Republican is doing well in national polls, they are probably doing well in the battleground states.
It's usually the other way around. The GOP candidate trails in national polls thanks to states like NY and CA, but quite likely in the lead in the electoral college (ignoring voter fraud). If Trump is already in the lead nationally.. that means a dam is about to burst ..again not counting cheating.