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Polling showing Harris in lead flagged by industry experts for voter samples
JustheNews ^ | 8/21/24 | Ben Whedon

Posted on 08/20/2024 11:13:24 PM PDT by CFW

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Yes. They are over-polling Democrats. To poll a state such as Wisconsin and include only 27% Republicans means that Siena must have drew their sample from a Democrat city such as Madison.
1 posted on 08/20/2024 11:13:24 PM PDT by CFW
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To: CFW

I wouldn’t be surprised if they burned up a large portion of their ready-in-the-can fake polls leading up to the convention. If that’s the case, they won’t be able to fake as high a convention bounce as they normally do.

Let’s wait and see.

Of course, the “debate” is just around the corner and the rabid attack dog “moderators” might just keep President Trump tied up enough for Comrade Camalol to declare victory. Inturrupting him, contradicting him, etc. You know, the usual.


2 posted on 08/20/2024 11:23:30 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: CFW

The media and the leftist pollsters live in their own bubble and don’t get out much. A lot of polling can be done in the little lunch and break area lawn behind the CNN building. Less work.

Version one:
A quote from New Yorker film critic Pauline Kael almost 40 years ago, has been discussed in right-wing circles ever since. It went something like this: “I can’t believe Nixon won. I don’t know anyone who voted for him.”

Alleged version two:
“Pauline Kael famously commented, after the 1972 Presidential election, ‘I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don’t know. They’re outside my ken. But sometimes when I’m in a theater I can feel them.’”


3 posted on 08/20/2024 11:34:15 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls.)
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To: CFW

Wow ,are democrats stupid.


4 posted on 08/20/2024 11:47:54 PM PDT by spincaster
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To: CFW

That’s because there’s a lot of Democrats that vote more than once.


5 posted on 08/20/2024 11:52:57 PM PDT by Brown Deer
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To: CFW

Continuing to do polls sitting naked in front of their computer screens at home


6 posted on 08/21/2024 12:16:53 AM PDT by Herakles (Diversity is applied Marxism )
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To: CFW

There is a thing called “response bias” pollsters know about.

When one side does well or has something good/galvanizing happen, their supporters are eager to pick up the phone, respond to texts, etc. When its the reverse they tend to not pick up the phone. Note that their vote has never changed - just their willingness to talk to pollsters.

In reality national polls do not swing 10 points rapidly. That simply never happens. There are ways to control for response bias....for example you could have a large sample of people and sample the same group over time. Another way is to carefully weight for demographics/education/income and weight people by their demographic and income information accordingly.

That is not what they’ve been doing lately. They’ve been grossly over representing Democrats as a percentage of those they polled. So yeah Heels Up leads.....if the electorate were 6-7% more Democrat than it actually is. In the real world, no freaking way is the electorate going to look like that. These are intentionally dishonest push polls meant to try to give Heels Up Harris a boost. Everybody knows it.


7 posted on 08/21/2024 12:46:07 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: CFW
It was only a month or two ago that people were saying, given Biden's health,Harris had to go as no one would want her as potus should biden not be able to complete a second term.

Now she's everybody's darling. Something is fishy.

8 posted on 08/21/2024 1:01:58 AM PDT by llevrok (Say NO to a fourth Obama term!)
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To: frank ballenger

The comedian, Jim Gaffigan, made a similar comment about the 2016 election.


9 posted on 08/21/2024 1:09:51 AM PDT by AbolishCSEU (Amount of "child" support paid is inversely proportionate to mother's actual parenting of children)
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To: CFW
RealClearPolitics currently projects Trump to win 287 electoral votes to Harris’s 251 based on its state-by-state averages

That's exactly what my model is showing right now.

-PJ

10 posted on 08/21/2024 1:11:18 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: llevrok

Their goal is to demoralize the Right into “what’s the use?”


11 posted on 08/21/2024 1:11:58 AM PDT by AbolishCSEU (Amount of "child" support paid is inversely proportionate to mother's actual parenting of children)
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To: CFW

It’s the only thing that makes sense.


12 posted on 08/21/2024 1:14:32 AM PDT by roving (Deplorable Erectionists Listless Vessel )
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To: FLT-bird

They are trying to have their polls be compatible with anticipated cheating.


13 posted on 08/21/2024 1:30:30 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Either you will rule. Or you will be ruled. There is no other choice.)
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To: CFW

“Kamala Harris has enjoyed a noticeable surge in the polls...since becoming the Democratic standard bearer,”

Like hell she is. She’s the anti-democratic double standard bearer. She just happens to be a member of the Democrat Party.


14 posted on 08/21/2024 1:44:17 AM PDT by equaviator (If 60 is the new 40 then 35 must be the new 15.)
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To: CFW

In layman’s terms the polling is lefty media horse shit.


15 posted on 08/21/2024 1:48:09 AM PDT by Bullish (...And just like that, I was dropped from the ping-list)
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To: AbolishCSEU

“The comedian, Jim Gaffigan,” is a leftist piece of garbage, in case you didn’t know.


16 posted on 08/21/2024 1:52:32 AM PDT by Bullish (...And just like that, I was dropped from the ping-list)
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To: AbolishCSEU
Their goal is to demoralize the Right into “what’s the use?”

Yeah right, good luck with that. Not happening. Everyone knows that Kamalass and her cuck of a VP are very dangerous for this country and we'll vote accordingly... Like our lives depend on it.

17 posted on 08/21/2024 1:55:32 AM PDT by Bullish (...And just like that, I was dropped from the ping-list)
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To: SauronOfMordor
They are trying to have their polls be compatible with anticipated cheating.

Yes. They are trying to make the election fraud they plan to commit believable. They're also trying to get donations and to get their side excited so they'll come out and vote.....but trying to provide cover for the planned fraud is definitely part of their motivation.

18 posted on 08/21/2024 2:49:44 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: CFW
“So what they're doing is they're polling fewer Republicans. They're polling a disproportionate number of Biden 2020 voters in these states that were dead even,” pollster John McLaughlin said this week on the “Just the News, No Noise” television show.

They're also over-polling women (which is boosting Harris) and under-polling minorities (which is lowering the importance of immigration and border concerns).

-PJ

19 posted on 08/21/2024 3:03:02 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: spincaster

“Wow, are democrats stupid”

It takes more than stupid to be diabolically evil, Philistinian, grasping and unconstitutional. Power and dominion is what they crave.


20 posted on 08/21/2024 3:09:20 AM PDT by Clutch Martin ("The trouble ain't that there is too many fools, but that the lightning ain't distributed right." )
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