The only really important thing about polls is what their previous ones read.
It doesn’t matter what their sample is. What matters is if there is any indication that sample is changing within it over time.
Reuters/Ipsos 2 days ago read T+2. In late May it read tie.
So after the debate and after the gunshot, only 2% moved.
This is not enough to compel anyone dropping out, especially with Biden yet to have a convention bounce.
People don’t care about Biden. They hate or love Trump.
“This is not enough to compel anyone dropping out, especially with Biden yet to have a convention bounce.”
Not enough to compel...?
Then you should contact all the democrat head hogs and comfort them. A two point lead is within the margin of error, so you should ask them why they are panicking and trying to shove Biden out.
They are panicking because they know the polls, the published ones, are crap. The real polls they keep to themselves and they are the ones who have them terrified.
I understand you are looking at trends—apples to apples.
That is reasonable.
Most folks have made up their minds—and current events are not going to change a lot of votes.
The Deep State wants Biden gone because they think he is a senile clown who is so senile he can no longer be controlled.
They are asking him nicely.
Then they will show him videos of Butler PA.
If he still does not get the message they will remove him—in a box.