Party Registration History 1970-2024
In late 2023 R's had taken an extremely slight lead in registrations over Democrats (with, as always, "Independents" having a greater number than either party).
Then suddenly in 2024, Democrat total has dropped, Independent total has dropped, Republican total has skyrocketed. Seems like the kind of "gift horse" whose mouth shouldn't be too closely examined. In NH, party registration AND how people vote, fluctuate all over the place. One year they look like they might be going back "red" and the next year they go lurching to the left. There is no consistent pattern and hasn't been one for many, many years.
You’re right. Sorry, over 50,000 flip.
No, not a gift horse. But, no, they don’t flip a lot. In fact, the GOP lead in NH was quite consistent until recently.
This, like AZ, may well reflect a lot of more conservative out-of-states moving in. For ex., Rich Baris tracked generationally the AZ immigrants from CA, and found that the 2000-ish wave was slightly left, the post 2010 wave overwhelmingly conservative. I suspect these 44,000 are conservative MA residents escaping.