Kasich doesn’t say who he thinks the Dims will pick instead. Their bench is pretty much empty of viable candidates.
I think the Dims expect to lose after Biden’s disasterous term, no matter who they run. Perhaps to create excitement and pander to both Obamas’ egos, the insiders will engineer a Boom for Michelle Obama, but she will ultimately decline to run (unless the media can gin up fake polls of a slam dunk victory). That will completely suck the life out of whoever ends up as their sacrificial lamb.
Way too late. No superdelegates won’t work.
First, the power of incumbency is something NO OTHER candidate would have-—which is precisely why they all run 2-5 points BEHIND Rutabaga (including Big Mike).
Second, Rutabaga HAS the superdelegates. It’s how he won the nomination in 2020 over Dinobernie.
Third, we’re almost at June. Hundreds of millions of dollars have already been spent on Rutabaga with hundreds of millions more dedicated and targeted to HIM and HIM ALONE. You don’tjust switch out PAC support. All that money would essentially be burned up.
Fourth, re-establishing 50 state campaign structures, personnel, etc takes a year, not five months.
Fifth, if they managed by any unicorn-hope to replace Rutabaga, the ONLY person they could replace him with is Kampuchea Harris. Virtually everyone agrees, if they leapfrog her for a Newsome or Big Mike (never happen in a million years) even though she is hated, the black power structure would explode at taking the first black veep/female president out of the job for a white guy or a political unknown. And Big Mike repeatedly has said he doesn’t want the job.
Sixth, did I mention Rutabaga polls ahead of everyone else? But you have to consider this: “alternatives” ALWAYS poll better and look better until they become real candidates. Then all of a sudden their records, their personalities, and their private lives are opened up on a whole new level. Then watch those poll numbers drop by 5 or 6 more points.
Seventh, massive electorate confusion. LBJ pulled this off by endorsing his veep, a well known national DemoKKKrat. Newsome and Big Mike are not national pols and Newsome isn’t that well known. Big Mike is NOT viewed as a pol. The sales pitch/programming would have to be beyond anything even the Deep State can muster to make it so.
As it stands, Rutabaga will lose about 312 electoral votes & pop vote, but might do enough to hold the senate. A sub would result in a 340-360 EV Trump win and complete down ticket collapse.