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Is There Any Reason to Think This Time Will Be Different?
Townhall.com ^ | March 5, 2021 | Michael Barone

Posted on 03/05/2021 4:06:51 AM PST by Kaslin

When public policies have produced disastrous results, and when alternative policies have resulted in immediate, seemingly miraculous improvement, why would anyone want to go back to the earlier policies? Is there any reason to suppose that this time will be different?

Not that I can see. The earlier policies -- a pullback from active policing and certain punishment, an open-handed welfare system providing income for single mothers -- were put in place in the 1960s, within living memory of some of us. The intentions were good. It was a time of high hopefulness that America's shameful history of racial discrimination and mistreatment were over.

The public accommodations and employment sections of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, controversial when passed, were more successful than even their most enthusiastic advocates dared to expect. The justifiably draconian measures of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 resulted almost immediately in full enfranchisement of black Americans.

Some sought more advances. As violent crime rates rose alarmingly among the blacks who had been streaming into cities for 25 years, prison populations actually declined, and police in major cities were reined in. As national unemployment rates fell, births to unwed mothers and welfare dependency rose. In the decade from 1965 to 1975, violent crime and welfare dependency, both heavily concentrated among blacks, nearly tripled -- tripled.

For two more decades, crime and welfare dependency remained at the same high levels, sometimes zooming higher. Only with the work-required welfare reform of Tommy Thompson in Wisconsin and the active policing pioneered by Rudy Giuliani in New York in the 1990s did the numbers come sharply down.

Left behind were central-city neighborhoods with burnt-out houses and empty lots; empty and bombed-out storefronts; downtowns and entertainment districts abandoned and boarded up.

Now it looks like we're starting the same cycle again. The death of a suspect in Minneapolis last May led to a resurgence of Black Lives Matter protests "mostly peaceful" in cities across the country ("mostly peaceful" means "often violent") and an even sharper rise in murders than after the BLM movement emerged following the 2014 Ferguson, Missouri incident.

Murders were up about 30% in 2020, far above the previous record of a 13% increase in 1968. Police departments are being defunded, effective crime-stopping procedures banned, criminal penalties reduced and low-dollar burglaries left unprosecuted.

We know where such policies led before. Is there any reason this time will be different?

Soft-on-crime policies were exacerbated by a surge in the number of children raised without fathers by mothers on welfare in the decades from 1965 to 1995. Reform, first by Thompson in Wisconsin and then by Newt Gingrich and Bill Clinton in the 1996 welfare bill, required mothers to work.

Social workers' focus was changed from handing out more checks to helping moms get and hold jobs. The results: Welfare rolls plummeted; teen births plunged; kids raised by working moms did better in school and in life.

Liberals have tried to stealthily roll back the reforms. They've been joined by some cultural conservatives, worried about population decline and eager to encourage potential parents with modest educational credentials and skills.

These include Sen. Mitt Romney, who supports a child allowance that is fully refundable -- which is to say that government will send a check to parents, married or unmarried, who have no income tax liability to offset. His and other proposals have a high cutoff, so affluent parents wouldn't get anything.

Conservative supporters worry about the nation's birth rates, sharply down since the 2007-08 financial crisis and even lower in 2020, and point out that many young people tell pollsters they'd like more children than they end up having. The fear is that America would end up like Japan, with an elderly population, a stagnant economy and stunted innovation.

A version of this, limited to one year, has been inserted in the "COVID relief" bill of President Joe Biden's administration. A single parent with two kids, working or not, could qualify for $7,200 a year plus $6,400 in food stamps. Advocates argue recipients would keep working because benefits wouldn't be reduced by wages earned.

Mickey Kaus, renegade liberal blogger, argues that that's nonsense. "(A) large subset of recipients will go from one worker to zero workers." That means "millions of kids growing up in fatherless homes, where nobody goes into the labor force, where the mainstream world of employment is a foreign country."

Past experience says he's right and that, as with high crime, the people most hurt will be black Americans. I can't see any reason this time will be different, and I look ahead with dread.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: crimeandpunishment; crimerates; michaelbarone

1 posted on 03/05/2021 4:06:51 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin
The public accommodations and employment sections of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, controversial when passed, were more successful than even their most enthusiastic advocates dared to expect. The justifiably draconian measures of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 resulted almost immediately in full enfranchisement of black Americans.

And 50 years on, how are things going?

2 posted on 03/05/2021 4:09:22 AM PST by Jim Noble (In times of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act)
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To: Jim Noble

The Voting Rights Act isn’t to blame.

The so-called War on Poverty is.


3 posted on 03/05/2021 4:11:53 AM PST by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds. )
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To: Kaslin

4 posted on 03/05/2021 4:13:22 AM PST by Bratch
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To: mewzilla
The Voting Rights Act isn’t to blame. The so-called War on Poverty is.

Social engineering - treating humans as if they were blank slates or cogs in a machine subject to manipulation by its creators is to blame, and it has many faces.

5 posted on 03/05/2021 4:26:46 AM PST by Jim Noble (In times of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act)
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To: Jim Noble

Candace Owens
@RealCandaceO
We went from the Huxtables, the Winslows and the Jeffersons to the cast of Love N Hip Hop and we think it’s racism that’s keeping us from excelling in this country.
This culture was not created by us, it was designed for us.
Few have the courage to call it out.
Quote Tweet
Candace Owens
@RealCandaceO
· 18h
Black culture honestly breaks my heart. It disintegrated so quickly from topics of faith family & love to absolute debauchery. We went from the Temptations and Commodores to naked women debasing themselves in the blink of an eye.

We are ruining black children with false idols.
1:05 PM · Mar 4, 2021·


6 posted on 03/05/2021 4:30:49 AM PST by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds. )
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To: mewzilla
Black culture honestly breaks my heart. It disintegrated so quickly from topics of faith family & love to absolute debauchery. We went from the Temptations and Commodores to naked women debasing themselves in the blink of an eye

And why? is the question.

7 posted on 03/05/2021 4:33:29 AM PST by Jim Noble (In times of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act)
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To: Kaslin

Barone, often wrong, is wrong again when he misstates what is happening in Japan. The Japanese birth rate is falling and population is declining but they aren’t flooding their country with third world bummers. They have an economy as good or better than the USA and aren’t suffering an innovation dearth at all but are key high tech contributors. The Japanese are likely to have better lives going forward than the losers in this country who persist in their folly of maintaining a world empire remade as a Marxist schitthole while the country spins around down the toilet bowl.


8 posted on 03/05/2021 4:41:47 AM PST by DrPretorius
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To: DrPretorius

good writing


9 posted on 03/05/2021 4:46:18 AM PST by Kevmo (So America gets what America deserves - - the destruction of its Constitution. ~Leo Donofrio, 6/1/09)
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To: mewzilla

Candace .. all great points. She’s black and can (sort of) get away with writing this. Why don’t more? (How long before she’s banned from Twitter?)


10 posted on 03/05/2021 4:50:55 AM PST by MayflowerMadam (Just because you're offended doesn't mean you're right.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
It's not about results, it's about who's calling the shots. Doesn't matter where the horse pulling the wagon is heading, it's about who's holding the reins.

11 posted on 03/05/2021 5:07:30 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Politics is always and only about power.)
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To: Kaslin

‘... the “COVID relief” ...” ???? Seriously???

THERE’S a boondoggle!

EVERY ELECTED DEMOCRAT will be signing a 1.9 trillion dollar “Covid Relief Bill” of which more than 1.7 trillion dollars to other countries and pork dollars to the broke cities and states! Many Americans will get $1400.00 dollars to STFU and accept it.

I’m sure NOW that the Biden ‘agenda’ is following the ‘Brewster’s Millions’ plan to rip through as much of the US economy as possible as FAST as possible!!


12 posted on 03/05/2021 5:40:25 AM PST by SMARTY ( "Force always attracts men of low morality. " Albert Einstein)
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To: MayflowerMadam

I follow Candace on Telegram ... but, yes, the twits must have a real dilemma with her....black and female...


13 posted on 03/05/2021 6:48:53 AM PST by goodnesswins (The issue is never the issue. The issue is always the revolution." -- Saul Alinksy)
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To: DrPretorius

“Barone, often wrong, is wrong again when he misstates what is happening in Japan. The Japanese birth rate is falling and population is declining but they aren’t flooding their country with third world bummers. They have an economy as good or better than the USA and aren’t suffering an innovation dearth at all but are key high tech contributors. The Japanese are likely to have better lives going forward than the losers in this country who persist in their folly of maintaining a world empire remade as a Marxist schitthole while the country spins around down the toilet bowl.”

NAILED IT.

I had some people go after me when I said similar stuff here. While I’ll certainly put our past as far better than Japan’s past...that is over, and there’s NO DOUBT as to which country will still be here in 50 years, if any country survives.


14 posted on 03/05/2021 9:40:58 AM PST by BobL
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Bump


15 posted on 03/06/2021 8:16:08 PM PST by foreverfree
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To: Kaslin

“The intentions were good.”

Remind me again. What is the road to Hell paved with?

L


16 posted on 03/06/2021 8:17:47 PM PST by Lurker (Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is. )
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To: Lurker

Not good intentions we made a deal with the Devil just don’t riot and we will give you a monthly check plus a lot of extras so you can buy fancy sneakers and not scare us


17 posted on 03/06/2021 8:22:56 PM PST by Recovering Ex-hippie (The 2020 election Trump victory determines the fate f America and Freedom.)
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