Posted on 02/25/2021 4:17:11 PM PST by BeauBo
A study conducted by the Clalit HMO (Health Maintenance Organization) studying the effectiveness of the Pfizer coronavirus vaccine among 1,200,000 people – half of whom received the vaccine and half who did not - became the first large scale study to be published in a peer-reviewed journal on Wednesday after it was published in the New England Journal of Medicine...
The (Pfizer) coronavirus vaccine prevents 57% of symptomatic cases within about two weeks after the first dose and 94% of symptomatic cases starting seven days after the second dose, according to the study...
The efficacy of the vaccine was found to be high and similar to the efficacy reported in clinical trials.
The researchers found that during the period from 14 to 20 days after the first dose, the vaccine was 46% effective at preventing confirmed infections, 57% effective at preventing symptomatic cases, 74% effective at preventing hospitalization, 62% effective at preventing severe illness and 72% effective at preventing deaths due to the virus.
In the period from 21 days to 27 days after the first dose – the week after the second dose – the effectiveness of the vaccine increased, becoming 60% effective at preventing confirmed infections, 66% effective at preventing symptomatic cases, 78% effective at preventing hospitalization, 80% effective at preventing severe illness and 84% effective at preventing deaths due to the virus.
Starting seven days after the second dose, the effectiveness of the vaccine improved significantly, preventing 92% of confirmed infections, 94% of symptomatic cases, 87% of hospitalizations and 92% of severe cases.
(Excerpt) Read more at jpost.com ...
It confirms that significant resistance starts manifesting the second week after the first shot, and continues to grow to a high level.
The Israeli Mutant, the IDF Prophecy and the Reality on the Ground
GILAD ATZMON • FEBRUARY 25, 2021
• 1,400 WORDS
As of writing this article, 75.4% of Israel’s new Covid-19 cases are under 39. Only 5.5% were over 60. Only 59.9% of critical patients are over 60 years old. 40% are under 60. The country has also detected a sharp rise in Covid-19 cases amongst pregnant women. Many are in hospital, with 8 currently in critical condition.
In Israel, cases in new-born Covid-19 have seen a significant 1300% spike (from 400 cases in under two-year-olds on November 20 to 5,800 in February 2021).
Israel’s Covid-19 cases per capita spiked sharply and were amongst the highest in the world (if not the highest) during the first month of the ‘successful’ mass vaccination campaign. Within two months of intensive inoculation with the Pfizer vaccine, Israel managed to double the number of deaths it accumulated in the prior ten months of the pandemic. We are talking about 2, 700 Israeli citizens, a similar number to the amount of IDF soldiers who died in the Yom Kippur war, supposedly the most traumatizing event in modern Israeli history.
When I presented these numbers to UK Column’s David Scott just two days ago his reaction was direct and lucid: “what you describe here is, really, a new disease.” I am afraid that Scott was correct. This is exactly what we see in Israel.
Yesterday I watched Ynet’s live discussion with Professor Nachman Ash, the Israeli ‘Covid-19 chief.’ During the online discussion, Prof. Ash attempted to address Israelis’ concerns regarding the Covid-19 situation and the impact of the Pfizer vaccine. Surprisingly (or not), Ash struggled to address most of the questions for obvious reasons. Nobody, including Prof. Ash, knows the answers to most of the crucial questions regarding Covid-19 and the so-called ‘vaccines’.
No one knows how effective the Pfizer substance is going to be in the long term. No one knows how Covid-19 may evolve in the near future. No one knows whether Israelis are about to face a mass ADE (Antibody-dependent enhancement) surge, though hopefully not. What we do know for certain is that the Israeli medical specialists who air such legitimate concerns are subject to some insane abuse and harassment.
They can easily lose their medical license for life. Dr Avshalom Karmel, who was brave enough to warn his fellow citizens about the possible consequences of the vaccine, reported in a tweet yesterday: “The Ministry of Health is threatening me, the director of my hospital scolded me…” Is this how we supposed to treat medical professionals in a ‘free’ society?
I listened to the live interview with Professor Ash even though he had really nothing to offer, but then came the question I was waiting for. One Israeli asked Prof. Ash “for how long are you going to hide the fact that we are dealing with an ‘Israeli Mutant’?” The Ynet presenter referred to the question as ‘conspiratorial,’ however Ash admitted that “we are detecting many mutants.” I couldn’t hear a categorical denial.
The truth of the matter is that a discussion about an “Israeli mutant” has been circulating for a while. Back in late January, the IDF’s Intelligence warned that an Israeli Covid-19 mutant is a likely possibility. On 24 January Times of Israel reported that “a military-led task force has warned of the potential emergence of a mutated Israeli variant of the coronavirus resistant to vaccines” and “mass rollout of vaccine amid ongoing outbreak may put ‘evolutionary pressure’ on the coronavirus…”
Examining current Israeli policy suggests the possibility that AMAN (IDF Intelligence) was spot on in its prediction. Judging by the unique and novel symptoms that are associated with Covid-19 in the Jewish State, we are dealing with a disease with novel characteristics. It attacks the young and the pregnant, it gave up on the elderly and vulnerable. The more Israel lowers the age of the vaccinated, the younger the cases, and those cases are growing exponentially.
It is hard to ignore the possibility that the success of the mass vaccination campaign is Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s election card. If the campaign proves to be a success by the eve of election day, Bibi is expected to win. Yet, if mass vaccination unveils itself as a disastrous, reckless and politically motivated adventure that has put the entire Israeli population at risk, not only would his political future be destroyed, he would probably see the criminal case against him expanding substantially, and not just in Israel.
I am not in any position to verify whether AMAN’s prophecy regarding the possible emergence of an Israeli mutant has fulfilled itself, but I can try to analyse Israel’s current policies in the light of such a concerning possible development.
1. Israel mounts incredible pressure on every Israeli to take the vaccine. By means of a ‘green passport’ it plans to dramatically limit the freedoms of the unvaccinated and their ability to earn a living. Netanyahu vowed on the 24th of February that, by the 10th of April, every Israeli would be vaccinated. This can obviously be interpreted by some as Bibi’s ‘genuine concern’ for the health of his people. A more cynical explanation is that Bibi now understands that, if there is an Israeli strain triggered by the mass vaccination campaign, the only way to fight it is to vaccinate every living Israeli hopping that the vaccine may reduce illness and death as various studies suggest.
2. Israel’s International airports, seaports and border crossings remain locked indefinitely. Some Israelis may be able to fly in, but nobody can leave the country. One may wonder why Israelis (or even just the vaccinated) aren’t allowed to leave. One possible explanation is that Israel insists on preventing the leak of a potentially unique Covid-19 strain out of the country. Why doesn’t Israel allow its large community of vaccinated to travel? One possibility is that Israel acknowledges that the vaccinated may be spreading the strain. You may even push it and wonder why Israel cares about spreading a mutant? I don’t know if Israel cares or not, but I know that they have an election in less than a month. Bibi will do whatever it takes to maintain the image of a ground-breaking success in the fight against Covid-19. The Israelis who have been the Guinea pigs in this experiment are asked to keep in line for at least one more month.
3. We learn from different Israeli sources that some issues regarding Israeli Covid-19 policy, including discussions within the Governmental Corona Cabinet, are now subject to 30-year confidentiality laws. In Israel, only matters that are related to national security (such as IDF and Mossad secret operations) enjoy such ‘confidentiality’ status. What is it that the Israeli government and its Prime Minister insist on hiding from his people and the world and why?
There is a growing number of studies that originating in Israel that refer to the vaccine as over 90% successful in preventing the disease and in reducing illness. Yesterday a new study ‘confirmed’ that Pfizer’s vaccine “performed as well in the real world as it did in the clinical trial that led to its use.”
I myself do not have any doubt that the vaccine could be successful in the short term in protecting those who are willing to take it. But I also can’t turn a blind eye to the scary correlation between mass vaccination and exponential rise in Covid-19 cases and deaths that can be detected in every country that engaged in mass vaccination. I cannot turn a blind eye to the undeniable fact that rapid mass vaccination in Israel correlates with a radical shift in the symptoms of Covid-19 to the point that it appears as a ‘new disease all together.’
I therefore ask every responsible person and government to look at the Israeli case with caution and to examine the shift in symptoms as a crucial hazardous event.
If IDF’s AMAN was correct in its warning and Israel is struggling with its own unique strain, then Israel should come clean and announce to the world that this is the case. This is what China and Britain did. This is what California has just done. This is exactly what we expect from a responsible nation, but Bibi may prefer to keep his cards close to his chest. If this is the case, he may have two paths to choose from. One is to lock the country and to prevent the spread of the Israeli variant before the election. The other is to encourage other countries and reckless governments to follow the Israeli path so they eventually develop lethal mutants of their own.
Pathogenic Priming.
Pharma said: "set up a medical apartheid state" & Israel obliged.
If pathogenic priming, autoimmune disorders, infertility, or cancer happen at the rates that we think they will, then the scale of the disaster will be unimaginable. https://t.co/LSJuKUUXz2— Toby Rogers, Ph.D., M.P.P. (@uTobian) February 19, 2021
“Pathogenic priming likely contributes to serious and critical illness and mortality in COVID-19 via autoimmunity”
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589909020300186
“As of writing this article, 75.4% of Israel’s new Covid-19 cases are under 39. Only 5.5% were over 60.”
That is what you would expect, if the vaccine was effective, and you vaccinated the older folks first (which is what they did.
Total numbers are declining pretty sharply in Israel (total cases have dropped in half since Feb 4th - 81K to 41K), led downward by the elderly who were vaccinated first. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/israel/
Deaths are the trailing indicator, the last metric to turn down, as vaccination chokes off transmission.
I read and posted before about a case of one man who kept getting sick, hospitalized, recovered, then sick again and re-admitted. After a few round trips to the hospital they did a deep dive into his blood and found more than 20 variants of the virus in his system. He eventually succumbed to the disease. Though to be fair, he did have a compromised immune system. But it makes me think about the chatter we heard earlier about people getting "re-infected".
Viruses will mutate, and I am not expert enough to compare it to other viruses but it stands to reason that a virus will adapt to survive. It also seems that the vaccines don't really stop an infection or the spreading of the disease but merely mitigate the risk of symptoms and consequences. So while it may present better outcomes for people who get the vaccine it doesn't seem to stop the spread, and if the virus is so adaptable we don't know how it may mutate as it is being spread even by those who do get the vaccine. All too early to know, imo. Seems to help for now, but long term I don't think we are in a position to know. Open to corrections and additions as I am just a layman interested in the information.
Does it? Honest question. I don't know and want to learn more.
Watch the video; https://twitter.com/i/status/1353521539635949568
I’m good. I’ve had two doses
Thanks for that. And a really good link in there as well.
From the article (and presumably from the data in the peer reviewed study), the vaccine is 92% effective at preventing confirmed infection of its recipients starting 7 days after the second dose, with lower effectiveness at prior times. For instance 60% during the time between doses. So, short answer: yes, the vaccine does appear to be effective at reducing transmission of the virus and not just effective at preventing illness or death from it.
Sorry, I quoted the wrong number for the time between doses; it’s 47% effective with one dose, not 60%.
Thanks. I see that but its worded funny. “preventing 92% of confirmed infections”. Usually these things are worded differently, such as “reduced risk of” or in the case of therapeutics for other ailment “improved in X% of patients who received”. Preventing confirmed infections, in my mind anyway, sounds like a rhetorical device.
I think the important question is: Does it prevent those who get the vaccine from spreading it to others? Confirmed infection doesn’t necessarily mean no infection, could just mean very low (unconfirmed/undetectable) viral load. Which is good of course, but not necessarily what we are looking for during this period of roll-out as it will take many many months or even the whole of 2021 before everyone who wants the vaccine to be able to get it.
“This huge study took place while the UK, or Kent, variant (B.1.117) was widely circulating in Israel.”
But will the fear-mongering end?
You’re right that you’re not an expert. Or particularly knowledgeable.
Nor you particularly helpful.
“I think the important question is: Does it prevent those who get the vaccine from spreading it to others?”
Yes. The vaccinated immune system neutralizes the virus as soon as it enters the body so it cannot replicate, make copies of itself.
It’s the copies that are transmitted.
“vaccination chokes off transmission - Does it?”
Yes, it does. As people develop heightened immune responses to the virus, whether by vaccination or exposure to the virus, several measurable effects occur.
Those people become: less likely to fall sick, less likely to become seriously sick if they do develop illness, less likely to die if they were to become seriously sick, and overall less likely to transmit the disease to others.
How much less likely? For both those naturally exposed, and for those receiving the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines, it is better than 90% reductions.
By some estimates, more than half of the American population (up to 2/3rds) may have already been exposed to the virus through wild transmission. At least over a quarter has been demonstrated through random blood testing (CDC’s seroprevalence survey) - but that did not begin until sometime after spread was already high in NYC, so earlier cases were likely missed (the antibodies they test for are only detectable for 1-2 months after infection). So natural herd immunity may be approaching rapidly - perhaps April, by some optimistic estimates.
18% of American adults have already received a first shot of vaccine, and we are running at a rate of about 10% of the population per month with vaccination. That rate should increase, as new producers begin providing additional supplies - Johnson & Johnson is expected to be authorized this weekend. AstraZeneca and Novavax are expected to gain authorization in April.
Defense Procurement Act contracts have been made, and paid for, for a tidal wave of vaccine:
Moderna - 300 million doses by the end of June
Pfizer - 300 million doses by the end of July
Johnson & Johnson - 100 million by the end of June (single shot vaccine)
Novavax - 100 million doses (expected by the end of June, subject to timely authorization)
AstraZeneca - 400 million doses!
Over a billion doses in the next few months are likely. Talk about choking off transmission!
We will see the effects in Israel first, as they are ahead of the rest of the world in vaccinating their population. They plan to get to everyone (about 9 million) by April 10th. Over 90% of their over 65 year olds have already had their first shot.
The virus is going to increasingly find a dead end, as it jumps from one person to another. Somewhere between April and June, it will dwindle away to a low rate endemic disease in the background - just another case of coughs, that kids get over while growing up. They will keep pushing the vaccine through Summer to get most all adults, and likely reformulated booster shots (for the variants) in the Fall (like the flu shot).
But the bottom will soon drop out of the numbers for cases, hospitalizations and deaths; because the virus just won’t be able to transmit at a replication rate high enough to keep spreading.
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