The house votes by state delegation in this situation, one vote per state. And Republicans have the majority of state delegations.
But there might be enough RINO's to defeat it. IDK.
Linda is right that the Republicans have to have enough evidence to convince both houses to order the commission to investigate. I think that evidence is there. Pulitzer's and other's testimony to Georgia's Senate hearing was compelling.
I don't think they have to prove enough vote fraud to overturn the election. You wouldn't need a commission to investigate further in that case.
But they need to present that there is very very suspicious activity, and that because they haven't been allowed to examine the ballots, none of the recounts or audits have been sufficient to determine there was not fraud.
I'm not sure 10 days is sufficient. But maybe once formed the commission can request more time.
The evidence is there - and Trump will no doubt have more things to reveal over the next 3 days.
My worry this morning is that Dems & Deep State have something planned over the next 48 hours to take everyone's attention off the 6th. What will they try as a "Squirrel!" tactic? An explosion in Atlanta? A riot near MaraLago?