[Political Junkie Too]

The poll uses a highly optimistic turnout model assuming a 36-37 R-D split

No, it doesn't.

It's a D+5 weighted sample of REGISTERED voters that resulted in a +5 for the Democrat.

See Methodology.

It's a 32/37 R/D weighted sample from a 31/35 unweighted population. The slide in the article footnotes a 2.8% MOE, which corresponds to the registered voter population in the Methodology document.

-PJ

[Jane Long]

It’s a D+5 weighted sample of REGISTERED voters that resulted in a +5 for the Democrat.

See Methodology.

It’s a 32/37 R/D weighted sample from a 31/35 unweighted population. The slide in the article footnotes a 2.8% MOE, which corresponds to the registered voter population in the Methodology document.

= = = = = =

Thanks.

I wonder why that wasn’t spelled at at OP?

(No, I don’t :)

[Williams]

There ARE more democrats.