Posted on 09/15/2020 6:43:32 AM PDT by nwrep
Note: This is a poll by Scott Rasmussen, separate from and not aligned with Rasmussen Reports. The poll uses a highly optimistic turnout model assuming a 36-37 R-D split, which is the most favorable Republican model of any pollsters, assuming near parity with Dems.
The key findings:
Out of 941 likely voters polled, 48% said they would vote for Biden, while 43% would choose Trump. The president has lost one percentage point since a similar poll roughly two weeks ago, while Biden's share of the likely vote has remained the same.
"GOP voters seem more engaged and more likely to turn out. However, Biden has a bigger lead within his party (82 points) than Trump does in his (75 points). Biden has a modest lead among Independents."
The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Rasmussen using a mixed-mode approach from September 10-12. The sample included 941 Likely Voters, defined as those who say they are definitely going to vote or very likely to vote and who know how they will vote. The Likely Voter sample was 36% Republican, 37% Democrat and 27% Independent.
This poll shows Trump with only 75% support among republicans. Should be easy to win those Biden republicans back.
Rasmussen has another poll showing Trump with 51% approval but in this poll he’s at 43% against Biden. Strange.
4 years ago Trump was also at 43% against Hillary in September:
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2378
When does Biden get hung with his own words and the Ukraine corruption with Hunter?
When does Biden get hung with his China corruption?
No it’s meaningless. Biden and Trump will win plenty of states they never set foot in.
Has no one learned anything from 2016?
Hillary?
The new Trump campaign director is a disaster. He’s saving money and went dark allowing Biden to re-emerge after the conventions.
Biden is out there with lies to cover it all.
How many avid JFK Democrats subscribe or use YouTube? Not many.
In the US, YouTube is used by 96% of the users in the 18-24 age group.
Re: https://99firms.com/blog/youtube-demographics/
This is the other reason Biden is in the basement. He has a lead.
Hillary did the same exact thing, she wasn’t seen for weeks and a few times we saw her she was stumbling into her ambulance/van
What a collection of Debbie Downers on this tread.
Here’s PDJT’s brand new tweet on the state of the race.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1305866347197456385
Also, Ronna McDaniel was just on Fox and said their internal polls show President Trump ahead in Michigan, her home state!
Trump's campaign is spending more on consultants this round. Consultants are albatrosses to put around the necks of campaigns. I wonder if they picked up "Republican consultants" who are, for the most part GOP-e losers.
Polls are not intended to gauge opinion, but to influence it. I thought most FReepers would have learned that by now.
it should be completely LIKELY voters.Also, the 6% unsure/1% someone else there is some of your shy Trump voter...of the ones who even respond
48/43 means that there are 9% who are undecided or who are currently favoring a 3rd party. The reality is that REPUBLICAN-LEANING WOMEN are notoriously late-deciders. They don’t pay attention to politics. Right now they are trying to figure out how to balance school at home and work. I would venture to say that 50-60% of Republican-leaning women have not watched Joe Biden for more than 2 minutes. I am married to a Republican woman. I watch FoxNews 3 hours per day, discuss political topics all the time, etc. My wife is CLUELESS about the election. Most women are. Its not their thing. My point: The vast majority of the “undecided” are—just like in 2016—very likely to break for Trump when they start paying attention.
Most people who are Trump supporters hang up on pollsters”
True but the sample is generous to Republicans. It is curious Trump is only 75% among The R’s. There is something fishy about that. I think the big question is can the MSM/DNC keep the dementia fraud going until the election. None of them have even mentioned that Biden takes NO questions. Among the most surprising things is that Biden seems to have a big lead on the restoring order question. I keep waitng for Joe’s numbers to start sliding but maybe they won’t and he gets that 48%.
People voting for their own destruction. The Germans had a better reason in 1932!
This will be long forgotten in a month when the vaccine is announced.
Biden is on the offensive because Trump has the momentum.
The debates will be decisive. And mail in ballots may end up hurting Biden. Democrat voters make lots of mistakes that get their ballots rejected. A significant number of mail in ballots get thrown out every cycle and most republicans will vote in person this year.
Good question. Perhaps the ultimate question, which the election will decide once and for all.
I don’t care what the polls say. People are scared. Guns stores are sold out even in the deep blue areas. Scared people don’t vote for the party that let all the criminals out on the street.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.